Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Taawon vs NEOM

Al Taawon vs NEOM prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-11-23 17:30
Al Taawon
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
78%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
NEOM
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
20%
2
33%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS Yes
76%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Al Taawon (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

NEOM (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Taawon
LDLWL
NEOM
DLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 71%
41% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 78%. Model confidence is High.

Al Taawon averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while NEOM averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
78%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
20%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS Yes
76%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Al Taawon(A) 2 - 2 NEOM Draw
Nov 2025 Al Taawon 1 - 1 NEOM Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Al Taawon won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Al Taawon — unbeaten run (home)1
Al Taawon — scoring streak (home)2
NEOM — winless run (away)3
NEOM — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Taawon Win (1)47%
Draw (X)20%
NEOM Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 71%
41% +1.5 41%
18% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 29%
59% -1.5 59%
82% -2.5 82%
88% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 100%

Al Taawon vs NEOM — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Taawon — scored (home)1.71
Al Taawon — conceded (home)1.41
NEOM — scored (away)1.35
NEOM — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals4.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes76%
No24%

Rate per Team

Al Taawon — BTTS matches (home)65%
NEOM — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.528%
Under 10.572%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Taawon (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.4

NEOM (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Taawon
10 8 8 7 12
NEOM
7 12 8 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Taawon (home)

For2.1

NEOM (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Al Taawon — total shots (home)13.2
NEOM — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Al Taawon — on target (home)3.9
NEOM — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Taawon

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box4.21

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Player Shots Al Taawon

Roger Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target31%
M. Barrow
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Petkov
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Sultan Mandash
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Fulgini
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Taawon xG (home)1.49
NEOM xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

52.09% Possession 52.76%

Team Comparison Al Taawon vs NEOM

84.74% Pass accuracy 83.58%
431.59 Passes per match 412.61
0.17 Goals prevented 0.39
11 Fouls committed 11.48
2.91 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
1.53 Offsides 1.72
14.71 Tackles per match 15.58

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Taawon vs NEOM prediction analysis

Review Al Taawon vs NEOM with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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