What markets are included in the Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük

Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-12-21 11:30

Alanyaspor

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

30%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fatih Karagümrük

Away

Prediction Summary

52%

29%

19%

Under 2.5

70%

BTTS No

66%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Alanyaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate47%

Fatih Karagümrük (Away)

Goals scored / match0.76

Goals conceded / match1.82

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Alanyaspor

LWDLL

Fatih Karagümrük

WWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 59%

41% +1.5 18%

12% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is Medium.

Alanyaspor averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Fatih Karagümrük averages 0.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

52%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

30%

BTTS Yes

34%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Alanyaspor(A) 1 - 2 Fatih Karagümrük Away

Jan 2026 Alanyaspor 2 - 2 Fatih Karagümrük Draw

Dec 2025 Alanyaspor 2 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük Home

Feb 2025 Alanyaspor 4 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Home

Feb 2024 Alanyaspor(A) 1 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Alanyaspor won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Alanyaspor — unbeaten run (home)1

Alanyaspor — scoring streak (home)4

Fatih Karagümrük — winless run (away)0

Fatih Karagümrük — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Alanyaspor Win (1)52%

Draw (X)29%

Fatih Karagümrük Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 59%

41% +1.5 18%

12% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 41%

59% -1.5 82%

88% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Alanyaspor — scored (home)1.35

Alanyaspor — conceded (home)1

Fatih Karagümrük — scored (away)0.76

Fatih Karagümrük — conceded (away)1.82

Model expected combined goals1.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes34%

No66%

Rate per Team

Alanyaspor — BTTS matches (home)47%

Fatih Karagümrük — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.571%

Under 6.529%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.544%

Under 8.556%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Alanyaspor (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.5

Fatih Karagümrük (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Alanyaspor

7 17 11 8 4

Fatih Karagümrük

11 7 7 6 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Alanyaspor (home)

For2.0

Fatih Karagümrük (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Alanyaspor — total shots (home)13.2

Fatih Karagümrük — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Alanyaspor — on target (home)4.6

Fatih Karagümrük — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Alanyaspor

Inside the box7.68

Outside the box4.74

Fatih Karagümrük

Inside the box5.79

Outside the box4.65

Player Shots Alanyaspor

Ruan

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target7%

Hwang Ui-Jo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

U. Ogundu

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target18%

İ. Kaya

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

G. Yalçın

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Fatih Karagümrük

D. Verde

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

D. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target8%

S. Larsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target5%

Serginho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

T. Çukur

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Alanyaspor xG (home)1.02

Fatih Karagümrük xG (away)1.01

Average Possession

48.15% Possession 45.03%

Team Comparison Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük

83% Pass accuracy 77.85%

406.94 Passes per match 371.29

0 Goals prevented 0.11

12.5 Fouls committed 13.56

2.74 Goalkeeper saves 3.67

1.26 Offsides 2.26

11.21 Tackles per match 13.74

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük prediction analysis

Review Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrük with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights