Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa

Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-11-23 14:00
Alanyaspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
21%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Kasımpaşa
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
35%
2
22%
Under 2.5
79%
BTTS No
72%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Alanyaspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Kasımpaşa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Alanyaspor
LWDLL
Kasımpaşa
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 71%
41% +1.5 29%
12% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 21%. Model confidence is High.

Alanyaspor averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Kasımpaşa averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
35%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
21%
BTTS Yes
28%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Alanyaspor(A) 0 - 1 Kasımpaşa Away
Nov 2025 Alanyaspor 1 - 2 Kasımpaşa Away
Mar 2025 Alanyaspor(A) 1 - 2 Kasımpaşa Away
Oct 2024 Alanyaspor 1 - 2 Kasımpaşa Away
Feb 2024 Alanyaspor(A) 1 - 2 Kasımpaşa Away

In the last 5 meetings, Alanyaspor won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Alanyaspor — unbeaten run (home)1
Alanyaspor — scoring streak (home)4
Kasımpaşa — winless run (away)10
Kasımpaşa — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Alanyaspor Win (1)43%
Draw (X)35%
Kasımpaşa Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 71%
41% +1.5 29%
12% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 29%
59% -1.5 71%
88% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Alanyaspor — scored (home)1.35
Alanyaspor — conceded (home)1
Kasımpaşa — scored (away)1.06
Kasımpaşa — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals1.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes28%
No72%

Rate per Team

Alanyaspor — BTTS matches (home)47%
Kasımpaşa — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.541%
Under 8.559%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Alanyaspor (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.5

Kasımpaşa (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Alanyaspor
7 17 11 8 4
Kasımpaşa
7 8 11 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Alanyaspor (home)

For2.0

Kasımpaşa (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Alanyaspor — total shots (home)13.2
Kasımpaşa — total shots (away)7.7

Shots on Target

Alanyaspor — on target (home)4.6
Kasımpaşa — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Alanyaspor

Inside the box7.68
Outside the box4.74

Kasımpaşa

Inside the box5.5
Outside the box4.06

Player Shots Alanyaspor

Ruan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target7%
Hwang Ui-Jo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
U. Ogundu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target18%
İ. Kaya
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Yalçın
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
H. Hajradinović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Guèye
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target4%
İ. Kahveci
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target19%
Cláudio Winck
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Alanyaspor xG (home)1.02
Kasımpaşa xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

48.15% Possession 44.44%

Team Comparison Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa

83% Pass accuracy 76.26%
406.94 Passes per match 338.41
0 Goals prevented -0.04
12.5 Fouls committed 15.5
2.74 Goalkeeper saves 2.94
1.26 Offsides 1.39
11.21 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa prediction analysis

Review Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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