Prediction Analysis: Alaves vs Getafe
Alaves vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
La Liga
2026-08-15
17:30
Alaves
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Getafe
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
28%
2
31%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Alaves (Home)
Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate74%
Getafe (Away)
Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate26%
Team Form last 5 matches
Alaves
LWWDL
Getafe
WLWDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
53%
42%
+1.5
21%
5%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
74%
BTTS
26%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.
Alaves averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 0.74 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
28%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Alaves
0 - 2
Getafe
Away
Sep 2025
Alaves(A)
1 - 1
Getafe
Draw
Feb 2025
Alaves
0 - 1
Getafe
Away
Sep 2024
Alaves(A)
0 - 2
Getafe
Away
May 2024
Alaves
1 - 0
Getafe
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Alaves won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Alaves — unbeaten run (home)0
Alaves — scoring streak (home)7
Getafe — winless run (away)2
Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Alaves Win (1)41%
Draw (X)28%
Getafe Win (2)31%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
53%
42%
+1.5
21%
5%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
47%
58%
-1.5
79%
95%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Alaves vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Alaves — scored (home)1.32
Alaves — conceded (home)1.32
Getafe — scored (away)0.74
Getafe — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.26
Both Teams To Score
Yes46%
No54%
Rate per Team
Alaves — BTTS matches (home)74%
Getafe — BTTS matches (away)26%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Alaves (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against4.3
Getafe (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Alaves
11
10
10
7
15
Getafe
5
10
6
4
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Alaves (home)
For2.2
Getafe (away)
For3.4
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.562%
Under 19.538%
Over 22.548%
Under 22.552%
Over 25.534%
Under 25.566%
Expected total shots22.88
Alaves
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.51
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.42
Getafe
Shots Over 9.554%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.36
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.35
Shots per Game
Alaves — total shots (home)12.9
Getafe — total shots (away)9.5
Shots on Target
Alaves — on target (home)4.5
Getafe — on target (away)2.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Alaves
Inside the box7.76
Outside the box4.39
Getafe
Inside the box5.58
Outside the box3.66
Player Shots Alaves
Toni Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%
L. Boyé
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target17%
I. Diabate
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Rebbach
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
F. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Getafe
M. Satriano
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target8%
Borja Mayoral
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
Adrian Liso
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves xG (home)1.23
Getafe xG (away)0.79
Average Possession
48.08%
Possession
40.08%
Team Comparison Alaves vs Getafe
79.45%
Pass accuracy
68.08%
404.45
Passes per match
286.84
-0.06
Goals prevented
0.08
14.92
Fouls committed
15.21
2.62
Goalkeeper saves
3.11
2.18
Offsides
2.39
18.24
Tackles per match
18.05
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Alaves vs Getafe prediction analysis
Review Alaves vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights