What markets are included in the Alaves vs Osasuna prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Alaves vs Osasuna prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Alaves vs Osasuna

Alaves vs Osasuna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-24 19:00

Alaves

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Osasuna

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

31%

27%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Alaves (Home)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate32%

Osasuna (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Alaves

DWWLD

Osasuna

DWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 58%

16% +1.5 16%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Alaves averages 0.74 goals scored at home, while Osasuna averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

31%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Alaves 2 - 2 Osasuna Draw

Dec 2025 Alaves(A) 0 - 3 Osasuna Away

May 2025 Alaves 1 - 1 Osasuna Draw

Dec 2024 Alaves(A) 2 - 2 Osasuna Draw

Mar 2024 Alaves(A) 0 - 1 Osasuna Away

In the last 5 meetings, Alaves won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Alaves — unbeaten run (home)4

Alaves — scoring streak (home)2

Osasuna — winless run (away)3

Osasuna — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Alaves Win (1)43%

Draw (X)31%

Osasuna Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 58%

16% +1.5 16%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 42%

84% -1.5 84%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Alaves vs Osasuna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Alaves — scored (home)0.74

Alaves — conceded (home)0.89

Osasuna — scored (away)0.79

Osasuna — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals1.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%

No62%

Rate per Team

Alaves — BTTS matches (home)32%

Osasuna — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Alaves (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.7

Osasuna (away)

Corners for4.3

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Alaves

8 11 13 14 14

Osasuna

10 13 8 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Alaves (home)

For2.6

Osasuna (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Alaves — total shots (home)10.6

Osasuna — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Alaves — on target (home)3.5

Osasuna — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Alaves

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.61

Osasuna

Inside the box7.92

Outside the box3.08

Player Shots Alaves

Manu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target3%

+1.5 On Target3%

Kike García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target17%

Carlos Vicente

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target8%

Toni Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Carlos Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Osasuna

Jorge Herrando

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Budimir

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target26%

Aimar Oroz

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Catena

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Raúl García

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Alaves xG (home)1.16

Osasuna xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

45.26% Possession 45.95%

Team Comparison Alaves vs Osasuna

73.08% Pass accuracy 77.71%

341.03 Passes per match 372.89

0 Goals prevented -0.1

16.39 Fouls committed 13.34

2.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.61

2.14 Offsides 1.76

19.21 Tackles per match 16.21

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Alaves vs Osasuna prediction analysis

Review Alaves vs Osasuna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights