Prediction Analysis: Albacete vs Real Sociedad II
Albacete vs Real Sociedad II prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Segunda División
2026-08-23
15:00
Albacete
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Real Sociedad II
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
25%
2
33%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Albacete (Home)
Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match1.52
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate67%
Real Sociedad II (Away)
Goals scored / match1.1
Goals conceded / match1.62
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate48%
Team Form last 5 matches
Albacete
LWWWW
Real Sociedad II
DLDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
86%
+0.5
62%
43%
+1.5
33%
10%
+2.5
10%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
67%
BTTS
48%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.
Albacete averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Real Sociedad II averages 1.1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 2
May 2026
Albacete
3 - 1
Real Sociedad II
Home
Jan 2026
Albacete(A)
0 - 0
Real Sociedad II
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Albacete won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Albacete — unbeaten run (home)2
Albacete — scoring streak (home)2
Real Sociedad II — winless run (away)1
Real Sociedad II — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Albacete Win (1)42%
Draw (X)25%
Real Sociedad II Win (2)33%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
86%
+0.5
62%
43%
+1.5
33%
10%
+2.5
10%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
14%
-0.5
38%
57%
-1.5
67%
90%
-2.5
90%
95%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Albacete vs Real Sociedad II — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Albacete — scored (home)1.43
Albacete — conceded (home)1.52
Real Sociedad II — scored (away)1.1
Real Sociedad II — conceded (away)1.62
Model expected combined goals2.83
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
Albacete — BTTS matches (home)67%
Real Sociedad II — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)57.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Albacete (home)
Corners for5.4
Corners against4.8
Real Sociedad II (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against6.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Albacete
8
8
19
12
10
Real Sociedad II
4
16
7
12
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Albacete (home)
For2.0
Real Sociedad II (away)
For3.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.90
Albacete
Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots14.98
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.70
Real Sociedad II
Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.91
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.05
Shots per Game
Albacete — total shots (home)14.5
Real Sociedad II — total shots (away)13.0
Shots on Target
Albacete — on target (home)4.6
Real Sociedad II — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Albacete
Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.55
Real Sociedad II
Inside the box7.26
Outside the box5.48
Player Shots Albacete
Jefté Betancor
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Rubio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
Lorenzo Aguado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
Agus Medina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
Lluís López
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
Player Shots Real Sociedad II
Sydney Osazuwa
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
Gorka Carrera
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target32%
J. Ochieng
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target24%
Mikel Rodriguez
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target15%
Ibai Aguirre
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Albacete xG (home)1.49
Real Sociedad II xG (away)1.41
Average Possession
42.29%
Possession
44.19%
Team Comparison Albacete vs Real Sociedad II
76.15%
Pass accuracy
75.62%
342.52
Passes per match
354.4
0
Goals prevented
0
11.31
Fouls committed
16.6
3.21
Goalkeeper saves
2.9
1.67
Offsides
1.95
15.88
Tackles per match
16.69
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Albacete vs Real Sociedad II prediction and preview
Preview Albacete vs Real Sociedad II with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights