Prediction Analysis: Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1

Tepatitlán
Away
Prediction Summary
1
32%
X
26%
2
42%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Home)
Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate57%
Tepatitlán (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
LWLLD
Tepatitlán
LLWWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
64%
+0.5
55%
29%
+1.5
25%
21%
+2.5
15%
14%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
57%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Tepatitlán averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
52%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
32%
Draw
26%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca(A)
0 - 2
Tepatitlán
Away
Oct 2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 - 1
Tepatitlán
Draw
Apr 2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca(A)
0 - 4
Tepatitlán
Away
Oct 2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 - 2
Tepatitlán
Away
Mar 2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 - 0
Tepatitlán
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — unbeaten run (home)0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — scoring streak (home)4
Tepatitlán — winless run (away)10
Tepatitlán — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win (1)32%
Draw (X)26%
Tepatitlán Win (2)42%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
64%
+0.5
55%
29%
+1.5
25%
21%
+2.5
15%
14%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
36%
-0.5
45%
71%
-1.5
75%
79%
-2.5
85%
86%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — scored (home)1.29
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — conceded (home)1.79
Tepatitlán — scored (away)1
Tepatitlán — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals2.59
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — BTTS matches (home)57%
Tepatitlán — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)53.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Tepatitlán (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Alebrijes de Oaxaca (home)
For—
Tepatitlán (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — total shots (home)—
Tepatitlán — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — on target (home)—
Tepatitlán — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Tepatitlán
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán prediction analysis
Review Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights