Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Liga de Expansión MX 2026-08-14 01:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
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Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Tepatitlán
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
26%
2
42%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate57%

Tepatitlán (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
LWLLD
Tepatitlán
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

64% +0.5 55%
29% +1.5 25%
21% +2.5 15%
14% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Tepatitlán averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
26%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Alebrijes de Oaxaca(A) 0 - 2 Tepatitlán Away
Oct 2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Tepatitlán Draw
Apr 2025 Alebrijes de Oaxaca(A) 0 - 4 Tepatitlán Away
Oct 2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 - 2 Tepatitlán Away
Mar 2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 0 Tepatitlán Home

In the last 5 meetings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Alebrijes de Oaxaca — unbeaten run (home)0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — scoring streak (home)4
Tepatitlán — winless run (away)10
Tepatitlán — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win (1)32%
Draw (X)26%
Tepatitlán Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

64% +0.5 55%
29% +1.5 25%
21% +2.5 15%
14% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

36% -0.5 45%
71% -1.5 75%
79% -2.5 85%
86% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Alebrijes de Oaxaca — scored (home)1.29
Alebrijes de Oaxaca — conceded (home)1.79
Tepatitlán — scored (away)1
Tepatitlán — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals2.59

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Alebrijes de Oaxaca — BTTS matches (home)57%
Tepatitlán — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)53.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Alebrijes de Oaxaca (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Tepatitlán (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Alebrijes de Oaxaca (home)

For—

Tepatitlán (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Alebrijes de Oaxaca — total shots (home)—
Tepatitlán — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Alebrijes de Oaxaca — on target (home)—
Tepatitlán — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Tepatitlán

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán prediction analysis

Review Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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