Prediction Analysis: Alianza Valledupar vs America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-08-31
21:10
Alianza Valledupar
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
America de Cali
Away
Prediction Summary
1
40%
X
31%
2
29%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Alianza Valledupar (Home)
Goals scored / match1.45
Goals conceded / match0.7
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate35%
America de Cali (Away)
Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%
Team Form last 5 matches
Alianza Valledupar
LWWWL
America de Cali
WLDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
75%
+0.5
62%
35%
+1.5
19%
20%
+2.5
4%
5%
+3.5
4%
5%
+4.5
0%
35%
BTTS
35%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.
Alianza Valledupar averages 1.45 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.
Model Strength
69%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
40%
Draw
31%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
38%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Alianza Valledupar
1 - 0
America de Cali
Home
Mar 2025
Alianza Valledupar(A)
0 - 3
America de Cali
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Alianza Valledupar — unbeaten run (home)2
Alianza Valledupar — scoring streak (home)2
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Alianza Valledupar Win (1)40%
Draw (X)31%
America de Cali Win (2)29%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
75%
+0.5
62%
35%
+1.5
19%
20%
+2.5
4%
5%
+3.5
4%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
25%
-0.5
38%
65%
-1.5
81%
80%
-2.5
96%
95%
-3.5
96%
95%
-4.5
100%
Alianza Valledupar vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Alianza Valledupar — scored (home)1.45
Alianza Valledupar — conceded (home)0.7
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals1.95
Both Teams To Score
Yes38%
No62%
Rate per Team
Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (home)35%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)35%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Alianza Valledupar (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against4.5
America de Cali (away)
Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Alianza Valledupar
16
11
9
10
6
America de Cali
7
7
4
6
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Alianza Valledupar (home)
For2.7
America de Cali (away)
For2.7
Shots per Game
Alianza Valledupar — total shots (home)14.5
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Alianza Valledupar — on target (home)5.0
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Alianza Valledupar
Inside the box6.4
Outside the box5.8
America de Cali
Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38
Player Shots Alianza Valledupar
C. Lucumi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target53%
F. Pardo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots America de Cali
D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Valledupar xG (home)1.2
America de Cali xG (away)0.87
Average Possession
49.88%
Possession
52.4%
Team Comparison Alianza Valledupar vs America de Cali
78.53%
Pass accuracy
81.27%
349.75
Passes per match
393.67
0
Goals prevented
0
12
Fouls committed
12.02
2.55
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.97
Offsides
1.86
12.03
Tackles per match
12.15
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Alianza Valledupar vs America de Cali prediction analysis
Review Alianza Valledupar vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights