What markets are included in the Alianza Valledupar vs Chico prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Alianza Valledupar vs Chico prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Alianza Valledupar vs Chico

Alianza Valledupar vs Chico prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-09 21:10

Alianza Valledupar

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Chico

Away

Prediction Summary

62%

23%

15%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Alianza Valledupar (Home)

Goals scored / match1.45

Goals conceded / match0.7

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate35%

Chico (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Alianza Valledupar

LWWWL

Chico

LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 45%

35% +1.5 15%

20% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Alianza Valledupar averages 1.45 goals scored at home, while Chico averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

62%

Draw

23%

Away Win

15%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

41%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Alianza Valledupar 2 - 0 Chico Home

May 2025 Alianza Valledupar(A) 1 - 2 Chico Away

In the last 2 meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Alianza Valledupar — unbeaten run (home)2

Alianza Valledupar — scoring streak (home)2

Chico — winless run (away)1

Chico — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Alianza Valledupar Win (1)62%

Draw (X)23%

Chico Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 45%

35% +1.5 15%

20% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 55%

65% -1.5 85%

80% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Alianza Valledupar vs Chico — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Alianza Valledupar — scored (home)1.45

Alianza Valledupar — conceded (home)0.7

Chico — scored (away)0.6

Chico — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%

No59%

Rate per Team

Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (home)35%

Chico — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.578%

Under 6.522%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Alianza Valledupar (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.5

Chico (away)

Corners for2.3

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Alianza Valledupar

16 11 9 10 6

Chico

5 4 7 10 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Alianza Valledupar (home)

For2.7

Chico (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Alianza Valledupar — total shots (home)14.5

Chico — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Alianza Valledupar — on target (home)5.0

Chico — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Alianza Valledupar

Inside the box6.4

Outside the box5.8

Chico

Inside the box4.88

Outside the box5.28

Player Shots Alianza Valledupar

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target53%

F. Pardo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target3%

J. Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Martinez

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

J. Molina

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

E. Banguero

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Arango

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target4%

J. Bocanegra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Alianza Valledupar xG (home)1.2

Chico xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

49.88% Possession 47.6%

Team Comparison Alianza Valledupar vs Chico

78.53% Pass accuracy 77.73%

349.75 Passes per match 328.68

0 Goals prevented 0

12 Fouls committed 11.03

2.55 Goalkeeper saves 3.05

1.97 Offsides 1.68

12.03 Tackles per match 10.13

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Alianza Valledupar vs Chico prediction analysis

Review Alianza Valledupar vs Chico with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights