What markets are included in the Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado

Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-04 21:00

Alianza Valledupar

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

35%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Envigado

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

30%

28%

Under 2.5

65%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Alianza Valledupar (Home)

Goals scored / match1.45

Goals conceded / match0.7

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate35%

Envigado (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.15

Over 2.5 rate15%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Alianza Valledupar

LWWWL

Envigado

WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 45%

35% +1.5 30%

20% +2.5 15%

5% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Alianza Valledupar averages 1.45 goals scored at home, while Envigado averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

30%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

35%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Alianza Valledupar(A) 0 - 0 Envigado Draw

Apr 2025 Alianza Valledupar 1 - 2 Envigado Away

In the last 2 meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Alianza Valledupar — unbeaten run (home)2

Alianza Valledupar — scoring streak (home)2

Envigado — winless run (away)0

Envigado — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Alianza Valledupar Win (1)42%

Draw (X)30%

Envigado Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 45%

35% +1.5 30%

20% +2.5 15%

5% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 55%

65% -1.5 70%

80% -2.5 85%

95% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Alianza Valledupar — scored (home)1.45

Alianza Valledupar — conceded (home)0.7

Envigado — scored (away)0.95

Envigado — conceded (away)1.15

Model expected combined goals2.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (home)35%

Envigado — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%

Under 4.57%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.575%

Under 7.525%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Alianza Valledupar (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.5

Envigado (away)

Corners for2.8

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Alianza Valledupar

16 11 9 10 6

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.598%

Under 2.52%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Alianza Valledupar (home)

For2.7

Envigado (away)

For4.2

Shots per Game

Alianza Valledupar — total shots (home)14.5

Envigado — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Alianza Valledupar — on target (home)5.0

Envigado — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Alianza Valledupar

Inside the box6.4

Outside the box5.8

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Alianza Valledupar

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target53%

F. Pardo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target3%

J. Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Martinez

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Alianza Valledupar xG (home)1.2

Envigado xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

49.88% Possession 43.18%

Team Comparison Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado

78.53% Pass accuracy 74.7%

349.75 Passes per match 285.13

0 Goals prevented 0

12 Fouls committed 14.18

2.55 Goalkeeper saves 2.9

1.97 Offsides 1.74

12.03 Tackles per match 11.08

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado prediction analysis

Review Alianza Valledupar vs Envigado with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights