Prediction Analysis: Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota
Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-10-24
21:00
Alianza Valledupar
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Internacional de Bogota
Away
Prediction Summary
1
61%
X
24%
2
15%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Alianza Valledupar (Home)
Goals scored / match1.45
Goals conceded / match0.7
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate35%
Internacional de Bogota (Away)
Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate55%
Team Form last 5 matches
Alianza Valledupar
LWWWL
Internacional de Bogota
WLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
75%
+0.5
55%
35%
+1.5
5%
20%
+2.5
0%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
35%
BTTS
55%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.
Alianza Valledupar averages 1.45 goals scored at home, while Internacional de Bogota averages 0.6 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
61%
Draw
24%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
41%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
Alianza Valledupar
2 - 0
Internacional de Bogota
Home
May 2025
Alianza Valledupar(A)
2 - 0
Internacional de Bogota
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Alianza Valledupar — unbeaten run (home)2
Alianza Valledupar — scoring streak (home)2
Internacional de Bogota — winless run (away)20
Internacional de Bogota — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Alianza Valledupar Win (1)61%
Draw (X)24%
Internacional de Bogota Win (2)15%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
75%
+0.5
55%
35%
+1.5
5%
20%
+2.5
0%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
25%
-0.5
45%
65%
-1.5
95%
80%
-2.5
100%
95%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Alianza Valledupar — scored (home)1.45
Alianza Valledupar — conceded (home)0.7
Internacional de Bogota — scored (away)0.6
Internacional de Bogota — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.39
Both Teams To Score
Yes41%
No59%
Rate per Team
Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (home)35%
Internacional de Bogota — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)45%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Alianza Valledupar (home)
Corners for5.8
Corners against4.5
Internacional de Bogota (away)
Corners for3.6
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Alianza Valledupar
16
11
9
10
6
Internacional de Bogota
6
11
4
7
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Alianza Valledupar (home)
For2.7
Internacional de Bogota (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
Alianza Valledupar — total shots (home)14.5
Internacional de Bogota — total shots (away)10.1
Shots on Target
Alianza Valledupar — on target (home)5.0
Internacional de Bogota — on target (away)3.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Alianza Valledupar
Inside the box6.4
Outside the box5.8
Internacional de Bogota
Inside the box5.6
Outside the box5.23
Player Shots Alianza Valledupar
C. Lucumi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target53%
F. Pardo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Internacional de Bogota
J. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Parra Atehortua
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
Renan Oliveira
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Micolta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Valledupar xG (home)1.2
Internacional de Bogota xG (away)0.72
Average Possession
49.88%
Possession
43.5%
Team Comparison Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota
78.53%
Pass accuracy
76.4%
349.75
Passes per match
317
0
Goals prevented
0
12
Fouls committed
11.58
2.55
Goalkeeper saves
2.7
1.97
Offsides
1.38
12.03
Tackles per match
12.05
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota prediction analysis
Review Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights