Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21

Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eerste Divisie 2026-08-14 18:00
Almere City FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Jong PSV U21
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
21%
2
27%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Almere City FC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.23
Goals conceded / match1.23
Over 2.5 rate45%
BTTS rate55%

Jong PSV U21 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match2.05
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Almere City FC
LLDWW
Jong PSV U21
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 84%
64% +1.5 63%
45% +2.5 26%
23% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%
55% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

Almere City FC averages 2.23 goals scored at home, while Jong PSV U21 averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
21%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Almere City FC(A) 3 - 2 Jong PSV U21 Home
Sep 2025 Almere City FC 2 - 4 Jong PSV U21 Away
Feb 2023 Almere City FC 1 - 2 Jong PSV U21 Away
Nov 2022 Almere City FC(A) 1 - 0 Jong PSV U21 Home
Jan 2022 Almere City FC(A) 1 - 5 Jong PSV U21 Away

In the last 5 meetings, Almere City FC won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Almere City FC — unbeaten run (home)0
Almere City FC — scoring streak (home)0
Jong PSV U21 — winless run (away)1
Jong PSV U21 — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Almere City FC Win (1)52%
Draw (X)21%
Jong PSV U21 Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 84%
64% +1.5 63%
45% +2.5 26%
23% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 16%
36% -1.5 37%
55% -2.5 74%
77% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 100%

Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Almere City FC — scored (home)2.23
Almere City FC — conceded (home)1.23
Jong PSV U21 — scored (away)1.79
Jong PSV U21 — conceded (away)2.05
Model expected combined goals3.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

Almere City FC — BTTS matches (home)55%
Jong PSV U21 — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Almere City FC (home)

Corners for7.6
Corners against4.2

Jong PSV U21 (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against7.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Almere City FC
10 9 11 8 9
Jong PSV U21
11 13 15 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Almere City FC (home)

For1.6

Jong PSV U21 (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.587%
Under 19.513%
Over 22.577%
Under 22.523%
Over 25.565%
Under 25.535%
Expected total shots29.75

Almere City FC

Shots Over 9.592%
Shots Over 11.583%
Shots Over 13.572%
Expected shots17.41
On Target Over 3.582%
On Target Over 4.569%
On Target Over 5.555%
Expected on target6.11

Jong PSV U21

Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.34
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.69

Shots per Game

Almere City FC — total shots (home)18.7
Jong PSV U21 — total shots (away)14.3

Shots on Target

Almere City FC — on target (home)6.4
Jong PSV U21 — on target (away)5.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Almere City FC

Inside the box10.08
Outside the box6.39

Jong PSV U21

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box5.74

Player Shots Almere City FC

F. Druijf
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target37%
H. El Dahri
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Burgering
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Poku
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
Julian Dean Rijkhoff
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target27%

Player Shots Jong PSV U21

A. Thomas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target39%
R. Duiven
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target41%
F. Kluit
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target25%
T. Abed
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target26%
A. Bouhamdi
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Almere City FC xG (home)1.94
Jong PSV U21 xG (away)1.87

Average Possession

48.08% Possession 51.71%

Team Comparison Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21

78.68% Pass accuracy 82.07%
403.74 Passes per match 430
0 Goals prevented 0
11.53 Fouls committed 11.74
3.08 Goalkeeper saves 4.37
1.46 Offsides 2.23
15.37 Tackles per match 16.53

League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21 prediction analysis

Review Almere City FC vs Jong PSV U21 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eerste Divisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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