What markets are included in the Almeria vs Eldense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Almeria vs Eldense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Almeria vs Eldense

Almeria vs Eldense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-16 15:00

Almeria

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Eldense

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

22%

23%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Almeria (Home)

Goals scored / match2.43

Goals conceded / match1.48

Over 2.5 rate52%

BTTS rate78%

Eldense (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Almeria

LDWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

96% +0.5 0%

70% +1.5 0%

52% +2.5 0%

22% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

78% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Almeria averages 2.43 goals scored at home, while Eldense averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

22%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

61%

Head-to-Head last 3

Dec 2025 Almeria(A) 1 - 2 Eldense Away

May 2025 Almeria 5 - 0 Eldense Home

Sep 2024 Almeria(A) 0 - 1 Eldense Away

In the last 3 meetings, Almeria won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Almeria — unbeaten run (home)0

Almeria — scoring streak (home)15

1X2 Probability model

Almeria Win (1)55%

Draw (X)22%

Eldense Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

96% +0.5 0%

70% +1.5 0%

52% +2.5 0%

22% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

4% -0.5 100%

30% -1.5 100%

48% -2.5 100%

78% -3.5 100%

96% -4.5 100%

Almeria vs Eldense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Almeria — scored (home)2.43

Almeria — conceded (home)1.48

Eldense — scored (away)0

Eldense — conceded (away)0

Model expected combined goals3.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%

No39%

Rate per Team

Almeria — BTTS matches (home)78%

Eldense — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)39%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Almeria (home)

Corners for6.0

Corners against4.1

Eldense (away)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Almeria

4 8 12 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%

Under 0.550%

Over 1.548%

Under 1.552%

Over 2.548%

Under 2.552%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Almeria (home)

For2.4

Eldense (away)

Forâ€”

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%

Under 19.521%

Over 22.565%

Under 22.535%

Over 25.551%

Under 25.549%

Expected total shots26.33

Almeria

Shots Over 9.587%

Shots Over 11.576%

Shots Over 13.561%

Expected shots15.49

On Target Over 3.575%

On Target Over 4.560%

On Target Over 5.544%

Expected on target5.39

Eldense

Shots Over 9.559%

Shots Over 11.540%

Shots Over 13.525%

Expected shots10.84

On Target Over 3.550%

On Target Over 4.532%

On Target Over 5.519%

Expected on target3.72

Shots per Game

Almeria — total shots (home)17.0

Eldense — total shots (away)â€”

Shots on Target

Almeria — on target (home)6.5

Eldense — on target (away)â€”

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Almeria

Inside the box9.35

Outside the box5.89

Eldense

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Player Shots Almeria

Sergio Arribas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target37%

Adri Embarba

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target30%

Léo Baptistão

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target18%

D. Lopy

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target10%

Nico Melamed

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Eldense

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Almeria xG (home)1.86

Eldense xG (away)-

Average Possession

52.17% Possession -%

Team Comparison Almeria vs Eldense

85.98% Pass accuracy 0%

417.98 Passes per match -

0 Goals prevented -

14.02 Fouls committed -

3.59 Goalkeeper saves -

1.77 Offsides -

14.93 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Almeria vs Eldense prediction and preview

Preview Almeria vs Eldense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights