What markets are included in the Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa

Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-16 13:00

Amarante

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lusitânia Lourosa

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

25%

33%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Amarante (Home)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Lusitânia Lourosa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lusitânia Lourosa

LLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 76%

0% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

0% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Amarante averages 0 goals scored at home, while Lusitânia Lourosa averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

25%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Lusitânia Lourosa — winless run (away)7

Lusitânia Lourosa — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Amarante Win (1)41%

Draw (X)25%

Lusitânia Lourosa Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 76%

0% +1.5 47%

0% +2.5 12%

0% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 24%

100% -1.5 53%

100% -2.5 88%

100% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 94%

Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Amarante — scored (home)0

Amarante — conceded (home)0

Lusitânia Lourosa — scored (away)1.47

Lusitânia Lourosa — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Amarante — BTTS matches (home)0%

Lusitânia Lourosa — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.551%

Under 9.549%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Amarante (home)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Lusitânia Lourosa (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lusitânia Lourosa

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%

Under 0.550%

Over 1.550%

Under 1.550%

Over 2.550%

Under 2.550%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Amarante (home)

Forâ€”

Lusitânia Lourosa (away)

For2.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.544%

Under 19.556%

Over 22.535%

Under 22.565%

Over 25.527%

Under 25.573%

Expected total shots19.91

Amarante

Shots Over 9.553%

Shots Over 11.541%

Shots Over 13.531%

Expected shots11.26

On Target Over 3.554%

On Target Over 4.538%

On Target Over 5.525%

Expected on target4.06

Lusitânia Lourosa

Shots Over 9.537%

Shots Over 11.526%

Shots Over 13.517%

Expected shots8.65

On Target Over 3.538%

On Target Over 4.523%

On Target Over 5.513%

Expected on target3.15

Shots per Game

Amarante — total shots (home)â€”

Lusitânia Lourosa — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Amarante — on target (home)â€”

Lusitânia Lourosa — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Amarante

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Lusitânia Lourosa

Inside the box6.69

Outside the box3.62

Player Shots Amarante

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Lusitânia Lourosa

Tiago Dias

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel Pereira

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

João Silva

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Fabinho

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Miguel Teixeira

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Amarante xG (home)-

Lusitânia Lourosa xG (away)0

Average Possession

-% Possession 48.08%

Team Comparison Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa

0% Pass accuracy 75.88%

- Passes per match 331.08

- Goals prevented 0

- Fouls committed 14.08

- Goalkeeper saves 3.46

- Offsides 1

- Tackles per match 17

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction analysis

Review Amarante vs Lusitânia Lourosa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights