Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Amed vs Çorum FK

Amed vs Çorum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-01-09 17:00
Amed
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Çorum FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
22%
2
21%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Amed (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Çorum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Amed
DDLDD
Çorum FK
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 76%
68% +1.5 43%
26% +2.5 19%
21% +3.5 10%
11% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Amed averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while Çorum FK averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
22%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Amed 1 - 0 Çorum FK Home
Aug 2025 Amed(A) 0 - 2 Çorum FK Away
Apr 2025 Amed 1 - 0 Çorum FK Home
Dec 2024 Amed(A) 1 - 1 Çorum FK Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Amed won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Amed — unbeaten run (home)19
Amed — scoring streak (home)13
Çorum FK — winless run (away)0
Çorum FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Amed Win (1)57%
Draw (X)22%
Çorum FK Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 76%
68% +1.5 43%
26% +2.5 19%
21% +3.5 10%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 24%
32% -1.5 57%
74% -2.5 81%
79% -3.5 90%
89% -4.5 100%

Amed vs Çorum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Amed — scored (home)2.37
Amed — conceded (home)0.74
Çorum FK — scored (away)1.48
Çorum FK — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals3.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Amed — BTTS matches (home)58%
Çorum FK — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Amed (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.4

Çorum FK (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Amed
6 14 12 19 7
Çorum FK
10 10 8 17 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Amed (home)

For2.2

Çorum FK (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Amed — total shots (home)18.6
Çorum FK — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Amed — on target (home)6.6
Çorum FK — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Amed

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box5.89

Çorum FK

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Amed

M. Diagne
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target54%
H. Kaldırım
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Sabia
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target25%
Fernando Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Çorum FK

Y. Erdoğan
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Pedrinho
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Samudio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Thiam
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Amed xG (home)1.94
Çorum FK xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

53.26% Possession 59.1%

Team Comparison Amed vs Çorum FK

81.74% Pass accuracy 83.48%
409.55 Passes per match 467.05
0 Goals prevented 0
11.11 Fouls committed 12.31
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 1.79
2.03 Offsides 2.48
13.49 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Amed vs Çorum FK prediction analysis

Review Amed vs Çorum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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