Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Amed vs Iğdır FK

Amed vs Iğdır FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-28 16:00
Amed
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Iğdır FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
22%
2
23%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Amed (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Iğdır FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Amed
DDLDD
Iğdır FK
DLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 68%
68% +1.5 37%
26% +2.5 16%
21% +3.5 5%
11% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Amed averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while Iğdır FK averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
22%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 Amed(A) 3 - 3 Iğdır FK Draw
Dec 2025 Amed 3 - 0 Iğdır FK Home
Apr 2025 Amed 0 - 0 Iğdır FK Draw
Nov 2024 Amed(A) 1 - 1 Iğdır FK Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Amed won 1, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Amed — unbeaten run (home)19
Amed — scoring streak (home)13
Iğdır FK — winless run (away)1
Iğdır FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Amed Win (1)55%
Draw (X)22%
Iğdır FK Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 68%
68% +1.5 37%
26% +2.5 16%
21% +3.5 5%
11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 32%
32% -1.5 63%
74% -2.5 84%
79% -3.5 95%
89% -4.5 95%

Amed vs Iğdır FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Amed — scored (home)2.37
Amed — conceded (home)0.74
Iğdır FK — scored (away)1.37
Iğdır FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.11

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Amed — BTTS matches (home)58%
Iğdır FK — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Amed (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.4

Iğdır FK (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Amed
6 14 12 19 7
Iğdır FK
5 5 11 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Amed (home)

For2.2

Iğdır FK (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Amed — total shots (home)18.6
Iğdır FK — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Amed — on target (home)6.6
Iğdır FK — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Amed

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box5.89

Iğdır FK

Inside the box7.47
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Amed

M. Diagne
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target54%
H. Kaldırım
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Sabia
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target25%
Fernando Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Iğdır FK

Ryan Mendes
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target17%
G. Bruno
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Loshaj
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Koita
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Amed xG (home)1.94
Iğdır FK xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

53.26% Possession 56.45%

Team Comparison Amed vs Iğdır FK

81.74% Pass accuracy 81.32%
409.55 Passes per match 435.74
0 Goals prevented 0
11.11 Fouls committed 12
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.73
2.03 Offsides 3.16
13.49 Tackles per match 13.63

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Amed vs Iğdır FK prediction analysis

Review Amed vs Iğdır FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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