Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Amed vs Keçiörengücü

Amed vs Keçiörengücü prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-10-04 16:00
Amed
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Keçiörengücü
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
22%
2
28%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Amed (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Keçiörengücü (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.45
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Amed
DDLDD
Keçiörengücü
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 80%
68% +1.5 35%
26% +2.5 25%
21% +3.5 10%
11% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Amed averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while Keçiörengücü averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
22%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Amed(A) 2 - 2 Keçiörengücü Draw
Oct 2025 Amed 4 - 1 Keçiörengücü Home
Mar 2025 Amed(A) 2 - 1 Keçiörengücü Home
Nov 2024 Amed 0 - 0 Keçiörengücü Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Amed won 2, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Amed — unbeaten run (home)19
Amed — scoring streak (home)13
Keçiörengücü — winless run (away)1
Keçiörengücü — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Amed Win (1)49%
Draw (X)22%
Keçiörengücü Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 80%
68% +1.5 35%
26% +2.5 25%
21% +3.5 10%
11% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 20%
32% -1.5 65%
74% -2.5 75%
79% -3.5 90%
89% -4.5 95%

Amed vs Keçiörengücü — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Amed — scored (home)2.37
Amed — conceded (home)0.74
Keçiörengücü — scored (away)1.65
Keçiörengücü — conceded (away)1.45
Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Amed — BTTS matches (home)58%
Keçiörengücü — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Amed (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.4

Keçiörengücü (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Amed
6 14 12 19 7
Keçiörengücü
12 10 13 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Amed (home)

For2.2

Keçiörengücü (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Amed — total shots (home)18.6
Keçiörengücü — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Amed — on target (home)6.6
Keçiörengücü — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Amed

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box5.89

Keçiörengücü

Inside the box8.62
Outside the box4.67

Player Shots Amed

M. Diagne
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target54%
H. Kaldırım
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Sabia
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target25%
Fernando Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Keçiörengücü

E. Rroca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Diouf
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Fernándes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Ezeh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Amed xG (home)1.94
Keçiörengücü xG (away)2.19

Average Possession

53.26% Possession 47.69%

Team Comparison Amed vs Keçiörengücü

81.74% Pass accuracy 79.13%
409.55 Passes per match 348.64
0 Goals prevented 0
11.11 Fouls committed 13.28
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.44
2.03 Offsides 2.51
13.49 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Amed vs Keçiörengücü prediction analysis

Review Amed vs Keçiörengücü with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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