Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Amed vs Sarıyer

Amed vs Sarıyer prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-09-25 17:00
Amed
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Sarıyer
Away

Prediction Summary

1
60%
X
20%
2
20%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Amed (Home)

Goals scored / match2.37
Goals conceded / match0.74
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate58%

Sarıyer (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Amed
DDLDD
Sarıyer
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 47%
68% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 16%
21% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Amed averages 2.37 goals scored at home, while Sarıyer averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
60%
Draw
20%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Amed(A) 1 - 1 Sarıyer Draw
Sep 2025 Amed 2 - 0 Sarıyer Home

In the last 2 meetings, Amed won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Amed — unbeaten run (home)19
Amed — scoring streak (home)13
Sarıyer — winless run (away)0
Sarıyer — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Amed Win (1)60%
Draw (X)20%
Sarıyer Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 47%
68% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 16%
21% +3.5 0%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 53%
32% -1.5 79%
74% -2.5 84%
79% -3.5 100%
89% -4.5 100%

Amed vs Sarıyer — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Amed — scored (home)2.37
Amed — conceded (home)0.74
Sarıyer — scored (away)0.84
Sarıyer — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals3.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Amed — BTTS matches (home)58%
Sarıyer — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Amed (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.4

Sarıyer (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Amed
6 14 12 19 7
Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Amed (home)

For2.2

Sarıyer (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Amed — total shots (home)18.6
Sarıyer — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Amed — on target (home)6.6
Sarıyer — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Amed

Inside the box9.58
Outside the box5.89

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Amed

M. Diagne
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target54%
H. Kaldırım
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Sabia
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target25%
Fernando Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Amed xG (home)1.94
Sarıyer xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

53.26% Possession 47.79%

Team Comparison Amed vs Sarıyer

81.74% Pass accuracy 80.71%
409.55 Passes per match 384.29
0 Goals prevented 0
11.11 Fouls committed 11.08
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
2.03 Offsides 2.4
13.49 Tackles per match 12.89

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Amed vs Sarıyer prediction analysis

Review Amed vs Sarıyer with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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