Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-07-27 01:20
America de Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Águilas Doradas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
30%
2
20%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

America de Cali (Home)

Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate23%
BTTS rate54%

Águilas Doradas (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

America de Cali
WLDWD
Águilas Doradas
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 60%
58% +1.5 25%
23% +2.5 5%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
54% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

America de Cali averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Águilas Doradas averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
30%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
35%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 America de Cali 2 - 1 Águilas Doradas Home
Apr 2025 America de Cali(A) 1 - 0 Águilas Doradas Home

In the last 2 meetings, America de Cali won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

America de Cali — unbeaten run (home)11
America de Cali — scoring streak (home)8
Águilas Doradas — winless run (away)1
Águilas Doradas — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

America de Cali Win (1)50%
Draw (X)30%
Águilas Doradas Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 60%
58% +1.5 25%
23% +2.5 5%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 40%
42% -1.5 75%
77% -2.5 95%
96% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

America de Cali — scored (home)1.69
America de Cali — conceded (home)0.81
Águilas Doradas — scored (away)1
Águilas Doradas — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals1.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%
No65%

Rate per Team

America de Cali — BTTS matches (home)54%
Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)52%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

America de Cali (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7

Águilas Doradas (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9
Águilas Doradas
16 7 12 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.596%
Under 2.54%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

America de Cali (home)

For2.8

Águilas Doradas (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

America de Cali — total shots (home)16.0
Águilas Doradas — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

America de Cali — on target (home)5.9
Águilas Doradas — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Águilas Doradas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Águilas Doradas

Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

America de Cali xG (home)0.87
Águilas Doradas xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

52.4% Possession 47.55%

Team Comparison America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas

81.27% Pass accuracy 77.18%
393.67 Passes per match 329.4
0 Goals prevented 0
12.02 Fouls committed 11.88
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
1.86 Offsides 1.56
12.15 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas prediction analysis

Review America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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