Prediction Analysis: America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-03-15
23:20
America de Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Alianza Valledupar
Away
Prediction Summary
1
55%
X
25%
2
20%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
America de Cali (Home)
Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate23%
BTTS rate54%
Alianza Valledupar (Away)
Goals scored / match0.9
Goals conceded / match1.45
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate40%
Team Form last 5 matches
America de Cali
WLDWD
Alianza Valledupar
LWWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
55%
58%
+1.5
25%
23%
+2.5
10%
4%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
54%
BTTS
40%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.
America de Cali averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Alianza Valledupar averages 0.9 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
55%
Draw
25%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
America de Cali(A)
0 - 1
Alianza Valledupar
Away
Mar 2025
America de Cali
3 - 0
Alianza Valledupar
Home
In the last 2 meetings, America de Cali won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
America de Cali — unbeaten run (home)11
America de Cali — scoring streak (home)8
Alianza Valledupar — winless run (away)1
Alianza Valledupar — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
America de Cali Win (1)55%
Draw (X)25%
Alianza Valledupar Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
55%
58%
+1.5
25%
23%
+2.5
10%
4%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
45%
42%
-1.5
75%
77%
-2.5
90%
96%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
America de Cali — scored (home)1.69
America de Cali — conceded (home)0.81
Alianza Valledupar — scored (away)0.9
Alianza Valledupar — conceded (away)1.45
Model expected combined goals2.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
America de Cali — BTTS matches (home)54%
Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)47%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
America de Cali (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7
Alianza Valledupar (away)
Corners for3.3
Corners against5.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
America de Cali
7
7
4
6
9
Alianza Valledupar
16
11
9
10
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2
Yellow Cards per Team
America de Cali (home)
For2.8
Alianza Valledupar (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
America de Cali — total shots (home)16.0
Alianza Valledupar — total shots (away)9.9
Shots on Target
America de Cali — on target (home)5.9
Alianza Valledupar — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
America de Cali
Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38
Alianza Valledupar
Inside the box6.4
Outside the box5.8
Player Shots America de Cali
D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Alianza Valledupar
C. Lucumi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target53%
F. Pardo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali xG (home)0.87
Alianza Valledupar xG (away)1.2
Average Possession
52.4%
Possession
49.88%
Team Comparison America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar
81.27%
Pass accuracy
78.53%
393.67
Passes per match
349.75
0
Goals prevented
0
12.02
Fouls committed
12
3
Goalkeeper saves
2.55
1.86
Offsides
1.97
12.15
Tackles per match
12.03
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar prediction analysis
Review America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights