Prediction Analysis: America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional
America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-08-24
23:20
America de Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Atletico Nacional
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
27%
2
27%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
America de Cali (Home)
Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate23%
BTTS rate54%
Atletico Nacional (Away)
Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.23
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate65%
Team Form last 5 matches
America de Cali
WLDWD
Atletico Nacional
LWLDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
73%
58%
+1.5
42%
23%
+2.5
15%
4%
+3.5
4%
0%
+4.5
4%
54%
BTTS
65%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.
America de Cali averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Atletico Nacional averages 1.38 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 4
Dec 2025
America de Cali
3 - 2
Atletico Nacional
Home
Nov 2025
America de Cali(A)
0 - 1
Atletico Nacional
Away
Aug 2025
America de Cali
1 - 1
Atletico Nacional
Draw
Mar 2025
America de Cali(A)
0 - 1
Atletico Nacional
Away
In the last 4 meetings, America de Cali won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
America de Cali — unbeaten run (home)11
America de Cali — scoring streak (home)8
Atletico Nacional — winless run (away)4
Atletico Nacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
America de Cali Win (1)46%
Draw (X)27%
Atletico Nacional Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
73%
58%
+1.5
42%
23%
+2.5
15%
4%
+3.5
4%
0%
+4.5
4%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
27%
42%
-1.5
58%
77%
-2.5
85%
96%
-3.5
96%
100%
-4.5
96%
America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
America de Cali — scored (home)1.69
America de Cali — conceded (home)0.81
Atletico Nacional — scored (away)1.38
Atletico Nacional — conceded (away)1.23
Model expected combined goals2.39
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
America de Cali — BTTS matches (home)54%
Atletico Nacional — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)59.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
America de Cali (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7
Atletico Nacional (away)
Corners for5.3
Corners against4.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
America de Cali
7
7
4
6
9
Atletico Nacional
12
8
9
3
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9
Yellow Cards per Team
America de Cali (home)
For2.8
Atletico Nacional (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
America de Cali — total shots (home)16.0
Atletico Nacional — total shots (away)13.8
Shots on Target
America de Cali — on target (home)5.9
Atletico Nacional — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
America de Cali
Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38
Atletico Nacional
Inside the box8.73
Outside the box7.02
Player Shots America de Cali
D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Atletico Nacional
A. Morelos
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Viveros
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
E. Cardona
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Rengifo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali xG (home)0.87
Atletico Nacional xG (away)1.17
Average Possession
52.4%
Possession
56.51%
Team Comparison America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional
81.27%
Pass accuracy
83.69%
393.67
Passes per match
411.63
0
Goals prevented
0
12.02
Fouls committed
11.51
3
Goalkeeper saves
2.59
1.86
Offsides
1.7
12.15
Tackles per match
10.58
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional prediction analysis
Review America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights