Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali

America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-27 23:20
America de Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
27%
2
14%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

America de Cali (Home)

Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate23%
BTTS rate54%

Deportivo Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

America de Cali
WLDWD
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 45%
58% +1.5 20%
23% +2.5 15%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
54% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

America de Cali averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
27%
Away Win
14%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
32%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2025 America de Cali(A) 2 - 0 Deportivo Cali Home
Sep 2025 America de Cali 0 - 0 Deportivo Cali Draw
Apr 2025 America de Cali 2 - 0 Deportivo Cali Home
Mar 2025 America de Cali(A) 1 - 1 Deportivo Cali Draw

In the last 4 meetings, America de Cali won 2, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

America de Cali — unbeaten run (home)11
America de Cali — scoring streak (home)8
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

America de Cali Win (1)59%
Draw (X)27%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 45%
58% +1.5 20%
23% +2.5 15%
4% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 55%
42% -1.5 80%
77% -2.5 85%
96% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

America de Cali — scored (home)1.69
America de Cali — conceded (home)0.81
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals1.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes32%
No68%

Rate per Team

America de Cali — BTTS matches (home)54%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.596%
Under 6.54%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

America de Cali (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7

Deportivo Cali (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9
Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

America de Cali (home)

For2.8

Deportivo Cali (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

America de Cali — total shots (home)16.0
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

America de Cali — on target (home)5.9
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

America de Cali xG (home)0.87
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

52.4% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali

81.27% Pass accuracy 78%
393.67 Passes per match 351.97
0 Goals prevented 0
12.02 Fouls committed 13.64
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
1.86 Offsides 1.97
12.15 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis

Review America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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