Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: America de Cali vs Millonarios

America de Cali vs Millonarios prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-17 01:30
America de Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Millonarios
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
22%
2
22%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

America de Cali (Home)

Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate23%
BTTS rate54%

Millonarios (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

America de Cali
WLDWD
Millonarios
WDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 74%
58% +1.5 39%
23% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
54% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

America de Cali averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Millonarios averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
22%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 America de Cali(A) 1 - 2 Millonarios Away
Apr 2025 America de Cali 0 - 0 Millonarios Draw

In the last 2 meetings, America de Cali won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

America de Cali — unbeaten run (home)11
America de Cali — scoring streak (home)8
Millonarios — winless run (away)0
Millonarios — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

America de Cali Win (1)56%
Draw (X)22%
Millonarios Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 74%
58% +1.5 39%
23% +2.5 4%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 26%
42% -1.5 61%
77% -2.5 96%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

America de Cali vs Millonarios — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

America de Cali — scored (home)1.69
America de Cali — conceded (home)0.81
Millonarios — scored (away)1.17
Millonarios — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

America de Cali — BTTS matches (home)54%
Millonarios — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)51%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

America de Cali (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7

Millonarios (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9
Millonarios
10 6 14 6 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.596%
Under 2.54%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

America de Cali (home)

For2.8

Millonarios (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

America de Cali — total shots (home)16.0
Millonarios — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

America de Cali — on target (home)5.9
Millonarios — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Millonarios

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box6.74

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Millonarios

Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Cabezas
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
D. Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Falcao
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target26%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

America de Cali xG (home)0.87
Millonarios xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

52.4% Possession 51.83%

Team Comparison America de Cali vs Millonarios

81.27% Pass accuracy 80.8%
393.67 Passes per match 372.59
0 Goals prevented 0
12.02 Fouls committed 11.65
3 Goalkeeper saves 2.78
1.86 Offsides 1.8
12.15 Tackles per match 13.87

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

America de Cali vs Millonarios prediction analysis

Review America de Cali vs Millonarios with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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