Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: America de Cali vs Once Caldas

America de Cali vs Once Caldas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-09-20 01:10
America de Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Once Caldas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
28%
2
18%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

America de Cali (Home)

Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate23%
BTTS rate54%

Once Caldas (Away)

Goals scored / match0.64
Goals conceded / match1.23
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

America de Cali
WLDWD
Once Caldas
DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 50%
58% +1.5 14%
23% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
54% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

America de Cali averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Once Caldas averages 0.64 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
28%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 America de Cali 2 - 1 Once Caldas Home
Apr 2025 America de Cali(A) 0 - 3 Once Caldas Away

In the last 2 meetings, America de Cali won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

America de Cali — unbeaten run (home)11
America de Cali — scoring streak (home)8
Once Caldas — winless run (away)3
Once Caldas — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

America de Cali Win (1)55%
Draw (X)28%
Once Caldas Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 50%
58% +1.5 14%
23% +2.5 0%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 50%
42% -1.5 86%
77% -2.5 100%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

America de Cali vs Once Caldas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

America de Cali — scored (home)1.69
America de Cali — conceded (home)0.81
Once Caldas — scored (away)0.64
Once Caldas — conceded (away)1.23
Model expected combined goals2.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

America de Cali — BTTS matches (home)54%
Once Caldas — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

America de Cali (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7

Once Caldas (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9
Once Caldas
7 14 14 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

America de Cali (home)

For2.8

Once Caldas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

America de Cali — total shots (home)16.0
Once Caldas — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

America de Cali — on target (home)5.9
Once Caldas — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02
Outside the box6.42

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Barrios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. García
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

America de Cali xG (home)0.87
Once Caldas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

52.4% Possession 49.73%

Team Comparison America de Cali vs Once Caldas

81.27% Pass accuracy 81.02%
393.67 Passes per match 358.62
0 Goals prevented 0
12.02 Fouls committed 11.36
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.64
1.86 Offsides 2.43
12.15 Tackles per match 12.47

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

America de Cali vs Once Caldas prediction analysis

Review America de Cali vs Once Caldas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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