Prediction Analysis: America de Cali vs Union Magdalena
America de Cali vs Union Magdalena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-11-09
23:20
America de Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union Magdalena
Away
Prediction Summary
1
57%
X
25%
2
18%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
America de Cali (Home)
Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate23%
BTTS rate54%
Union Magdalena (Away)
Goals scored / match0.7
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
America de Cali
WLDWD
Union Magdalena
WLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
60%
58%
+1.5
10%
23%
+2.5
0%
4%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
54%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.
America de Cali averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Union Magdalena averages 0.7 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
57%
Draw
25%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
Head-to-Head last 2
Nov 2025
America de Cali
3 - 0
Union Magdalena
Home
May 2025
America de Cali(A)
2 - 0
Union Magdalena
Home
In the last 2 meetings, America de Cali won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
America de Cali — unbeaten run (home)11
America de Cali — scoring streak (home)8
Union Magdalena — winless run (away)6
Union Magdalena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
America de Cali Win (1)57%
Draw (X)25%
Union Magdalena Win (2)18%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
60%
58%
+1.5
10%
23%
+2.5
0%
4%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
40%
42%
-1.5
90%
77%
-2.5
100%
96%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
America de Cali vs Union Magdalena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
America de Cali — scored (home)1.69
America de Cali — conceded (home)0.81
Union Magdalena — scored (away)0.7
Union Magdalena — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.34
Both Teams To Score
Yes42%
No58%
Rate per Team
America de Cali — BTTS matches (home)54%
Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)52%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
America de Cali (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against3.7
Union Magdalena (away)
Corners for2.9
Corners against6.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
America de Cali
7
7
4
6
9
Union Magdalena
3
14
12
11
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1
Yellow Cards per Team
America de Cali (home)
For2.8
Union Magdalena (away)
For2.6
Shots per Game
America de Cali — total shots (home)16.0
Union Magdalena — total shots (away)9.0
Shots on Target
America de Cali — on target (home)5.9
Union Magdalena — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
America de Cali
Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38
Union Magdalena
Inside the box5.77
Outside the box5.72
Player Shots America de Cali
D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Player Shots Union Magdalena
R. Márquez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Blanco
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Iguaran
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Aragon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali xG (home)0.87
Union Magdalena xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
52.4%
Possession
45.9%
Team Comparison America de Cali vs Union Magdalena
81.27%
Pass accuracy
75.59%
393.67
Passes per match
333
0
Goals prevented
0
12.02
Fouls committed
13.13
3
Goalkeeper saves
3.18
1.86
Offsides
1.74
12.15
Tackles per match
13.23
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
America de Cali vs Union Magdalena prediction analysis
Review America de Cali vs Union Magdalena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights