Prediction Analysis: America Mineiro vs Goias
America Mineiro vs Goias prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-07-26
21:30
America Mineiro
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Goias
Away
Prediction Summary
1
31%
X
27%
2
42%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
America Mineiro (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Goias (Away)
Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
America Mineiro
LDDLL
Goias
DWDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
100%
0%
+1.5
67%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.
America Mineiro averages 1 goals scored at home, while Goias averages 1.67 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
31%
Draw
27%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 5
Aug 2025
America Mineiro(A)
0 - 1
Goias
Away
Apr 2025
America Mineiro
1 - 0
Goias
Home
Oct 2024
America Mineiro
2 - 2
Goias
Draw
Jul 2024
America Mineiro(A)
1 - 2
Goias
Away
Dec 2023
America Mineiro(A)
0 - 1
Goias
Away
In the last 5 meetings, America Mineiro won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
America Mineiro — unbeaten run (home)2
America Mineiro — scoring streak (home)2
Goias — winless run (away)0
Goias — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3
1X2 Probability model
America Mineiro Win (1)31%
Draw (X)27%
Goias Win (2)42%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
100%
0%
+1.5
67%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
0%
100%
-1.5
33%
100%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
America Mineiro vs Goias — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
America Mineiro — scored (home)1
America Mineiro — conceded (home)1
Goias — scored (away)1.67
Goias — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.45
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
America Mineiro — BTTS matches (home)100%
Goias — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)83.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
America Mineiro (home)
Corners for4.0
Corners against4.5
Goias (away)
Corners for2.0
Corners against5.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
America Mineiro
13
9
9
8
6
Goias
9
16
7
6
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1
Yellow Cards per Team
America Mineiro (home)
For1.5
Goias (away)
For1.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.59
America Mineiro
Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.561%
Expected shots15.41
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.50
Goias
Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots11.18
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.53
Shots per Game
America Mineiro — total shots (home)13.0
Goias — total shots (away)9.3
Shots on Target
America Mineiro — on target (home)4.0
Goias — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
America Mineiro
Inside the box6
Outside the box4.17
Goias
Inside the box5.83
Outside the box5
Player Shots America Mineiro
Guilherme Parede
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Segovia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target50%
Paulo Victor
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
Willian
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Dalbert Henrique
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Goias
Kadu
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%
Djalma Silva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Ramon Menezes
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Luiz Felipe
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%
Cadu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
America Mineiro xG (home)1.03
Goias xG (away)0.91
Average Possession
50.83%
Possession
50%
Team Comparison America Mineiro vs Goias
84.84%
Pass accuracy
83.34%
384.67
Passes per match
397.5
-0.12
Goals prevented
0.09
13.33
Fouls committed
13.83
4.33
Goalkeeper saves
2.33
1.33
Offsides
2.5
12.67
Tackles per match
12.33
League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
America Mineiro vs Goias prediction analysis
Review America Mineiro vs Goias with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights