Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Anderlecht vs Charleroi

Anderlecht vs Charleroi prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-26 19:45
Anderlecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Charleroi
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
24%
2
20%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Anderlecht (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate65%

Charleroi (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Anderlecht
LWDDL
Charleroi
WDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 75%
45% +1.5 40%
25% +2.5 5%
10% +3.5 0%
10% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Anderlecht averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Charleroi averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
24%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Anderlecht 1 - 2 Charleroi Away
Oct 2025 Anderlecht(A) 0 - 1 Charleroi Away
Feb 2025 Anderlecht(A) 1 - 0 Charleroi Home
Sep 2024 Anderlecht 0 - 0 Charleroi Draw
Feb 2024 Anderlecht(A) 3 - 1 Charleroi Home

In the last 5 meetings, Anderlecht won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Anderlecht — unbeaten run (home)2
Anderlecht — scoring streak (home)7
Charleroi — winless run (away)0
Charleroi — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Anderlecht Win (1)56%
Draw (X)24%
Charleroi Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 75%
45% +1.5 40%
25% +2.5 5%
10% +3.5 0%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 25%
55% -1.5 60%
75% -2.5 95%
90% -3.5 100%
90% -4.5 100%

Anderlecht vs Charleroi — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Anderlecht — scored (home)1.75
Anderlecht — conceded (home)1.2
Charleroi — scored (away)1.2
Charleroi — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Anderlecht — BTTS matches (home)65%
Charleroi — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Anderlecht (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.1

Charleroi (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Anderlecht
12 6 4 17 5
Charleroi
9 7 13 20 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Anderlecht (home)

For2.1

Charleroi (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Anderlecht — total shots (home)16.5
Charleroi — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Anderlecht — on target (home)5.7
Charleroi — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Anderlecht

Inside the box8.73
Outside the box5.93

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Anderlecht

K. Dolberg
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target67%
D. Sikan
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Hazard
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Bertaccini
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Angulo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Titraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Pflücke
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Anderlecht xG (home)1.46
Charleroi xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

52.7% Possession 49.78%

Team Comparison Anderlecht vs Charleroi

80.13% Pass accuracy 80.28%
440 Passes per match 394.8
0.15 Goals prevented 0.04
13.95 Fouls committed 11.3
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
1.74 Offsides 2.35
17.48 Tackles per match 15.98

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Anderlecht vs Charleroi prediction analysis

Review Anderlecht vs Charleroi with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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