Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Anderlecht vs Fenerbahçe

Anderlecht vs Fenerbahçe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-02-20 20:00
Anderlecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Fenerbahçe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
22%
2
30%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Anderlecht (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate67%

Fenerbahçe (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate83%

Team Form last 5 matches

Anderlecht
DLLLW
Fenerbahçe
WLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
83% +1.5 67%
17% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 83%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Anderlecht averages 2 goals scored at home, while Fenerbahçe averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
22%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2025 Anderlecht 2 - 2 Fenerbahçe Draw
Feb 2025 Anderlecht(A) 0 - 3 Fenerbahçe Away

In the last 2 meetings, Anderlecht won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Anderlecht — unbeaten run (home)1
Anderlecht — scoring streak (home)6
Fenerbahçe — winless run (away)0
Fenerbahçe — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Anderlecht Win (1)48%
Draw (X)22%
Fenerbahçe Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
83% +1.5 67%
17% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
17% -1.5 33%
83% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Anderlecht vs Fenerbahçe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Anderlecht — scored (home)2
Anderlecht — conceded (home)1.5
Fenerbahçe — scored (away)1.67
Fenerbahçe — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Anderlecht — BTTS matches (home)67%
Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (away)83%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.542%
Under 6.558%
Over 7.542%
Under 7.558%
Over 8.525%
Under 8.575%
Over 9.517%
Under 9.583%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Anderlecht (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.0

Fenerbahçe (away)

Corners for2.0
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Anderlecht
10 3 11 12 5
Fenerbahçe
5 12 5 14 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Anderlecht (home)

For1.7

Fenerbahçe (away)

For4.5

Shots per Game

Anderlecht — total shots (home)14.5
Fenerbahçe — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Anderlecht — on target (home)6.0
Fenerbahçe — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Anderlecht

Inside the box7.1
Outside the box5.3

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box3.17

Player Shots Anderlecht

K. Dolberg
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Amuzu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Dreyer
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
S. Edozie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

Talisca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target42%
S. Szymański
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Tadić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Anderlecht xG (home)1.17
Fenerbahçe xG (away)1.35

Average Possession

57% Possession 51.42%

Team Comparison Anderlecht vs Fenerbahçe

83.1% Pass accuracy 79.83%
498.1 Passes per match 477.5
-0.08 Goals prevented 0.39
10.36 Fouls committed 12.67
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 4.42
1.45 Offsides 1.67
18.3 Tackles per match 18.75

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Anderlecht vs Fenerbahçe prediction analysis

Review Anderlecht vs Fenerbahçe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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