Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Anderlecht vs Ludogorets

Anderlecht vs Ludogorets prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-10-24 19:00
Anderlecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Ludogorets
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
27%
2
28%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Anderlecht (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate67%

Ludogorets (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match0.8
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Anderlecht
DLLLW
Ludogorets
DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 40%
83% +1.5 20%
17% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Anderlecht averages 2 goals scored at home, while Ludogorets averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 3

Oct 2024 Anderlecht 2 - 0 Ludogorets Home
Feb 2023 Anderlecht 2 - 1 Ludogorets Home
Feb 2023 Anderlecht(A) 0 - 1 Ludogorets Away

In the last 3 meetings, Anderlecht won 2, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Anderlecht — unbeaten run (home)1
Anderlecht — scoring streak (home)6
Ludogorets — winless run (away)4
Ludogorets — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Anderlecht Win (1)45%
Draw (X)27%
Ludogorets Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 40%
83% +1.5 20%
17% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 60%
17% -1.5 80%
83% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Anderlecht vs Ludogorets — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Anderlecht — scored (home)2
Anderlecht — conceded (home)1.5
Ludogorets — scored (away)0.6
Ludogorets — conceded (away)0.8
Model expected combined goals2.45

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Anderlecht — BTTS matches (home)67%
Ludogorets — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Anderlecht (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against3.0

Ludogorets (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Anderlecht
10 3 11 12 5
Ludogorets
9 10 14 11 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

Anderlecht (home)

For1.7

Ludogorets (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Anderlecht — total shots (home)14.5
Ludogorets — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Anderlecht — on target (home)6.0
Ludogorets — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Anderlecht

Inside the box7.1
Outside the box5.3

Ludogorets

Inside the box5.75
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Anderlecht

K. Dolberg
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Amuzu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Dreyer
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
S. Edozie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Ludogorets

Caio Vidal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Camara
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Duah
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rwan Cruz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Erick Marcus
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Anderlecht xG (home)1.17
Ludogorets xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

57% Possession 46.22%

Team Comparison Anderlecht vs Ludogorets

83.1% Pass accuracy 78.75%
498.1 Passes per match 397.25
-0.08 Goals prevented 0.29
10.36 Fouls committed 11.11
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 4.89
1.45 Offsides 1.56
18.3 Tackles per match 17.13

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Anderlecht vs Ludogorets prediction analysis

Review Anderlecht vs Ludogorets with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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