Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise

Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-30 17:30
Anderlecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Union St. Gilloise
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
27%
2
34%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Anderlecht (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate65%

Union St. Gilloise (Away)

Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

Anderlecht
LWDDL
Union St. Gilloise
WDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

85% +0.5 65%
45% +1.5 25%
25% +2.5 20%
10% +3.5 5%
10% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Anderlecht averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Union St. Gilloise averages 1.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
27%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Anderlecht(A) 1 - 5 Union St. Gilloise Away
May 2026 Anderlecht(A) 1 - 3 Union St. Gilloise Away
Apr 2026 Anderlecht 1 - 3 Union St. Gilloise Away
Nov 2025 Anderlecht 1 - 0 Union St. Gilloise Home
Aug 2025 Anderlecht(A) 0 - 2 Union St. Gilloise Away

In the last 5 meetings, Anderlecht won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Anderlecht — unbeaten run (home)2
Anderlecht — scoring streak (home)7
Union St. Gilloise — winless run (away)3
Union St. Gilloise — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Anderlecht Win (1)40%
Draw (X)27%
Union St. Gilloise Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

85% +0.5 65%
45% +1.5 25%
25% +2.5 20%
10% +3.5 5%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

15% -0.5 35%
55% -1.5 75%
75% -2.5 80%
90% -3.5 95%
90% -4.5 100%

Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Anderlecht — scored (home)1.75
Anderlecht — conceded (home)1.2
Union St. Gilloise — scored (away)1.15
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Anderlecht — BTTS matches (home)65%
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Anderlecht (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against4.1

Union St. Gilloise (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Anderlecht
12 6 4 17 5
Union St. Gilloise
10 6 16 13 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Anderlecht (home)

For2.1

Union St. Gilloise (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Anderlecht — total shots (home)16.5
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Anderlecht — on target (home)5.7
Union St. Gilloise — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Anderlecht

Inside the box8.73
Outside the box5.93

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box10.98
Outside the box4.2

Player Shots Anderlecht

K. Dolberg
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target67%
D. Sikan
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Hazard
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Bertaccini
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Angulo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Biondic
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Anderlecht xG (home)1.46
Union St. Gilloise xG (away)1.7

Average Possession

52.7% Possession 52.1%

Team Comparison Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise

80.13% Pass accuracy 79.8%
440 Passes per match 431.95
0.15 Goals prevented 0.07
13.95 Fouls committed 12.1
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 1.85
1.74 Offsides 2.53
17.48 Tackles per match 18.43

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise prediction analysis

Review Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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