Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Auxerre

Angers vs Auxerre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-09 16:15
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Auxerre
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
25%
2
16%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Angers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Auxerre (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Angers
DDLLD
Auxerre
WWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 53%
24% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Auxerre averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
25%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Angers(A) 1 - 3 Auxerre Away
Nov 2025 Angers 2 - 0 Auxerre Home
Jan 2025 Angers 2 - 0 Auxerre Home
Nov 2024 Angers(A) 0 - 1 Auxerre Away
Feb 2024 Angers(A) 0 - 1 Auxerre Away

In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Auxerre — winless run (away)0
Auxerre — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Angers Win (1)59%
Draw (X)25%
Auxerre Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 53%
24% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 47%
76% -1.5 65%
94% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Angers vs Auxerre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.18
Auxerre — scored (away)0.94
Auxerre — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Auxerre — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.521%
Under 10.579%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Angers (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.7

Auxerre (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Angers
7 9 10 2 9
Auxerre
14 9 10 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Angers (home)

For1.6

Auxerre (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Angers — total shots (home)10.2
Auxerre — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Angers — on target (home)3.8
Auxerre — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Auxerre

Inside the box6.94
Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Auxerre

L. Sinayoko
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Namaso
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Mara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target7%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Casimir
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers xG (home)0.95
Auxerre xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

41.82% Possession 43.91%

Team Comparison Angers vs Auxerre

81.97% Pass accuracy 79.62%
398.09 Passes per match 372.85
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.08
11.09 Fouls committed 13.74
4.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.29
1.79 Offsides 1.45
18 Tackles per match 18.09

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Angers vs Auxerre prediction analysis

Review Angers vs Auxerre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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