Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Estac Troyes

Angers vs Estac Troyes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-19 15:00
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Estac Troyes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
24%
2
27%
+2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Angers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Estac Troyes (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Angers
DDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 0%
24% +1.5 0%
6% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Estac Troyes averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
24%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2024 Angers 2 - 1 Estac Troyes Home
Dec 2023 Angers(A) 4 - 1 Estac Troyes Home
May 2023 Angers 2 - 1 Estac Troyes Home
Aug 2022 Angers(A) 1 - 3 Estac Troyes Away
Jan 2022 Angers 2 - 1 Estac Troyes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1

1X2 Probability model

Angers Win (1)49%
Draw (X)24%
Estac Troyes Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 0%
24% +1.5 0%
6% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 100%
76% -1.5 100%
94% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Angers vs Estac Troyes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.18
Estac Troyes — scored (away)0
Estac Troyes — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Estac Troyes — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)20.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Angers (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.7

Estac Troyes (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Angers
7 9 10 2 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.547%
Under 1.553%
Over 2.536%
Under 2.564%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Angers (home)

For1.6

Estac Troyes (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.44

Angers

Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.63
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.53

Estac Troyes

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.81
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.56

Shots per Game

Angers — total shots (home)10.2
Estac Troyes — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Angers — on target (home)3.8
Estac Troyes — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Estac Troyes

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Estac Troyes

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers xG (home)0.95
Estac Troyes xG (away)-

Average Possession

41.82% Possession -%

Team Comparison Angers vs Estac Troyes

81.97% Pass accuracy 0%
398.09 Passes per match -
-0.01 Goals prevented -
11.09 Fouls committed -
4.03 Goalkeeper saves -
1.79 Offsides -
18 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Angers vs Estac Troyes prediction analysis

Review Angers vs Estac Troyes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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