Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Lens

Angers vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-30 16:15
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Lens
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
29%
2
31%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Angers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Lens (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Angers
DDLLD
Lens
WLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 76%
24% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 6%
41% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
29%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Angers(A) 1 - 5 Lens Away
Nov 2025 Angers 1 - 2 Lens Away
Jan 2025 Angers(A) 0 - 1 Lens Away
Aug 2024 Angers 0 - 1 Lens Away
Mar 2023 Angers(A) 0 - 3 Lens Away

In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Lens — winless run (away)0
Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Angers Win (1)40%
Draw (X)29%
Lens Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 76%
24% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 24%
76% -1.5 47%
94% -2.5 71%
94% -3.5 82%
100% -4.5 94%

Angers vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.18
Lens — scored (away)1.82
Lens — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Lens — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Angers (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.7

Lens (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Angers
7 9 10 2 9
Lens
6 15 11 9 28

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Angers (home)

For1.6

Lens (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Angers — total shots (home)10.2
Lens — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Angers — on target (home)3.8
Lens — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Lens

Inside the box11.47
Outside the box4.97

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Lens

O. Édouard
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target34%
W. Saïd
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target31%
F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Udol
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Sangaré
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers xG (home)0.95
Lens xG (away)1.99

Average Possession

41.82% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Angers vs Lens

81.97% Pass accuracy 84.24%
398.09 Passes per match 463.53
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.17
11.09 Fouls committed 12.71
4.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.48
1.79 Offsides 2.23
18 Tackles per match 18.74

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Angers vs Lens prediction analysis

Review Angers vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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