Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Lille
Angers vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Ligue 1
2026-08-22
15:00
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Lille
Away
Prediction Summary
1
30%
X
26%
2
44%
+2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Angers (Home)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%
Lille (Away)
Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate29%
Team Form last 5 matches
Angers
DDLLD
Lille
LWDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
65%
24%
+1.5
41%
6%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
18%
0%
+4.5
6%
41%
BTTS
29%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.65 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
30%
Draw
26%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Angers
0 - 1
Lille
Away
Nov 2025
Angers(A)
0 - 1
Lille
Away
Apr 2025
Angers
0 - 2
Lille
Away
Aug 2024
Angers(A)
0 - 2
Lille
Away
Apr 2023
Angers
1 - 0
Lille
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Lille — winless run (away)0
Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Angers Win (1)30%
Draw (X)26%
Lille Win (2)44%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
65%
24%
+1.5
41%
6%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
18%
0%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
35%
76%
-1.5
59%
94%
-2.5
76%
94%
-3.5
82%
100%
-4.5
94%
Angers vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.18
Lille — scored (away)1.65
Lille — conceded (away)1.18
Model expected combined goals2.53
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Lille — BTTS matches (away)29%
Combined (simple average)35%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Angers (home)
Corners for4.1
Corners against4.7
Lille (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Angers
7
9
10
2
9
Lille
8
10
19
7
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Angers (home)
For1.6
Lille (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.565%
Under 19.535%
Over 22.551%
Under 22.549%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.48
Angers
Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots11.04
On Target Over 3.554%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.99
Lille
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.45
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.78
Shots per Game
Angers — total shots (home)10.2
Lille — total shots (away)12.5
Shots on Target
Angers — on target (home)3.8
Lille — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Angers
Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44
Lille
Inside the box9.56
Outside the box4.06
Player Shots Angers
G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Lille
M. Fernandez-Pardo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target31%
H. Igamane
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
O. Giroud
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%
H. Haraldsson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Diaoune
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Angers xG (home)0.95
Lille xG (away)1.63
Average Possession
41.82%
Possession
55.85%
Team Comparison Angers vs Lille
81.97%
Pass accuracy
85.09%
398.09
Passes per match
496.88
-0.01
Goals prevented
0.2
11.09
Fouls committed
10.88
4.03
Goalkeeper saves
2.24
1.79
Offsides
1.47
18
Tackles per match
15.15
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Angers vs Lille prediction analysis
Review Angers vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights