Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Lille

Angers vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-27 13:00
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Lille
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
25%
2
51%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Angers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Angers
LWWLL
Lille
WLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
25%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Angers 0 - 1 Lille Away
Nov 2025 Angers(A) 0 - 1 Lille Away
Apr 2025 Angers 0 - 2 Lille Away
Aug 2024 Angers(A) 0 - 2 Lille Away
Apr 2023 Angers 1 - 0 Lille Home

In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Lille — winless run (away)1
Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Angers Win (1)25%
Draw (X)25%
Lille Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 29%
65% -1.5 53%
94% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Angers vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.94
Lille — scored (away)1.24
Lille — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Lille — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Angers (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Lille (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Angers
6 9 10 8 16
Lille
12 9 7 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Angers (home)

For1.4

Lille (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Angers — total shots (home)9.1
Lille — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Angers — on target (home)3.1
Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Angers

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box3.35

Lille

Inside the box9.03
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Angers

E. Biumla
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
E. Lepaul
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
I. Niane
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
J. Allevinah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
H. Abdelli
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Lille

Tiago Santos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target29%
J. David
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target31%
C. Akpom
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
O. Sahraoui
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
André Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers xG (home)1.06
Lille xG (away)1.64

Average Possession

40.82% Possession 57.94%

Team Comparison Angers vs Lille

80.79% Pass accuracy 86.21%
371.65 Passes per match 541.15
0.14 Goals prevented 0.26
11.18 Fouls committed 12.06
4.06 Goalkeeper saves 2.82
2.3 Offsides 1.5
18.35 Tackles per match 18.41

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Angers vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Angers vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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