Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Lorient

Angers vs Lorient prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-10-26 16:15
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Lorient
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
28%
2
17%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Angers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Lorient (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Angers
DDLLD
Lorient
LWDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 47%
24% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Lorient averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
28%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
35%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Angers(A) 0 - 2 Lorient Away
Oct 2025 Angers 2 - 0 Lorient Home
Feb 2023 Angers(A) 0 - 0 Lorient Draw
Jan 2023 Angers 1 - 2 Lorient Away
Jan 2022 Angers(A) 0 - 0 Lorient Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Lorient — winless run (away)0
Lorient — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Angers Win (1)55%
Draw (X)28%
Lorient Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 47%
24% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 53%
76% -1.5 71%
94% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Angers vs Lorient — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.18
Lorient — scored (away)1
Lorient — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%
No65%

Rate per Team

Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Lorient — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Angers (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.7

Lorient (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Angers
7 9 10 2 9
Lorient
8 16 14 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Angers (home)

For1.6

Lorient (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Angers — total shots (home)10.2
Lorient — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Angers — on target (home)3.8
Lorient — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Lorient

Inside the box7.12
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Lorient

B. Dieng
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target32%
P. Pagis
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Makengo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Tosin
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers xG (home)0.95
Lorient xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

41.82% Possession 45.35%

Team Comparison Angers vs Lorient

81.97% Pass accuracy 83.94%
398.09 Passes per match 427.03
-0.01 Goals prevented -0.3
11.09 Fouls committed 9.59
4.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.79 Offsides 1.72
18 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Angers vs Lorient prediction analysis

Review Angers vs Lorient with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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