Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Montpellier

Angers vs Montpellier prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-13 15:15
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Montpellier
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
25%
2
31%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Angers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Montpellier (Away)

Goals scored / match0.35
Goals conceded / match2.24
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Angers
LWWLL
Montpellier
LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 24%
35% +1.5 12%
6% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Montpellier averages 0.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
25%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Angers 2 - 0 Montpellier Home
Jan 2025 Angers(A) 3 - 1 Montpellier Home
Mar 2023 Angers(A) 0 - 5 Montpellier Away
Sep 2022 Angers 2 - 1 Montpellier Home
May 2022 Angers 2 - 0 Montpellier Home

In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Montpellier — winless run (away)8
Montpellier — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Angers Win (1)44%
Draw (X)25%
Montpellier Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 24%
35% +1.5 12%
6% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 76%
65% -1.5 88%
94% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Angers vs Montpellier — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.94
Montpellier — scored (away)0.35
Montpellier — conceded (away)2.24
Model expected combined goals2.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Montpellier — BTTS matches (away)24%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Angers (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Montpellier (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Angers
6 9 10 8 16
Montpellier
9 10 10 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Angers (home)

For1.4

Montpellier (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Angers — total shots (home)9.1
Montpellier — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Angers — on target (home)3.1
Montpellier — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Angers

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box3.35

Montpellier

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Angers

E. Biumla
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
E. Lepaul
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
I. Niane
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
J. Allevinah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
H. Abdelli
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Montpellier

A. Delort
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Adams
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
O. Maamma
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Nordin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target25%
T. Savanier
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers xG (home)1.06
Montpellier xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

40.82% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Angers vs Montpellier

80.79% Pass accuracy 80.53%
371.65 Passes per match 388.79
0.14 Goals prevented -0.1
11.18 Fouls committed 12.56
4.06 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
2.3 Offsides 2.1
18.35 Tackles per match 19

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Angers vs Montpellier prediction analysis

Review Angers vs Montpellier with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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