Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Nantes

Angers vs Nantes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-12-12 19:45
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Nantes
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
30%
2
24%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Angers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Nantes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Angers
DDLLD
Nantes
LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 47%
24% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Nantes averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
30%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Angers(A) 1 - 0 Nantes Home
Dec 2025 Angers 4 - 1 Nantes Home
May 2025 Angers(A) 1 - 0 Nantes Home
Sep 2024 Angers 1 - 1 Nantes Draw
Jun 2023 Angers(A) 0 - 1 Nantes Away

In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Nantes — winless run (away)8
Nantes — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Angers Win (1)46%
Draw (X)30%
Nantes Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 47%
24% +1.5 18%
6% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 53%
76% -1.5 82%
94% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Angers vs Nantes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.18
Nantes — scored (away)0.65
Nantes — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Nantes — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Angers (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.7

Nantes (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Angers
7 9 10 2 9
Nantes
11 13 14 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Angers (home)

For1.6

Nantes (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Angers — total shots (home)10.2
Nantes — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Angers — on target (home)3.8
Nantes — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Nantes

Inside the box7.3
Outside the box4

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Nantes

M. Abline
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
I. Ganago
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Kaba
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Cabella
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target18%
Y. El-Arabi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers xG (home)0.95
Nantes xG (away)1.1

Average Possession

41.82% Possession 42.03%

Team Comparison Angers vs Nantes

81.97% Pass accuracy 77.85%
398.09 Passes per match 349.06
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.1
11.09 Fouls committed 12.76
4.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.27
1.79 Offsides 1.31
18 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Angers vs Nantes prediction analysis

Review Angers vs Nantes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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