Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Rennes
Angers vs Rennes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Ligue 1
2026-09-05
15:00
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Rennes
Away
Prediction Summary
1
39%
X
25%
2
36%
+2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Angers (Home)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.18
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%
Rennes (Away)
Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Angers
DDLLD
Rennes
LWLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
71%
+0.5
82%
24%
+1.5
53%
6%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Rennes averages 1.71 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
39%
Draw
25%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Angers(A)
1 - 2
Rennes
Away
Aug 2025
Angers
1 - 1
Rennes
Draw
Mar 2025
Angers
0 - 3
Rennes
Away
Dec 2024
Angers(A)
0 - 2
Rennes
Away
Apr 2023
Angers(A)
2 - 4
Rennes
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Rennes — winless run (away)2
Rennes — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Angers Win (1)39%
Draw (X)25%
Rennes Win (2)36%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
71%
+0.5
82%
24%
+1.5
53%
6%
+2.5
24%
6%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
29%
-0.5
18%
76%
-1.5
47%
94%
-2.5
76%
94%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
100%
Angers vs Rennes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.18
Rennes — scored (away)1.71
Rennes — conceded (away)1.94
Model expected combined goals2.94
Both Teams To Score
Yes59%
No41%
Rate per Team
Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Rennes — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)44%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Angers (home)
Corners for4.1
Corners against4.7
Rennes (away)
Corners for5.5
Corners against4.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Angers
7
9
10
2
9
Rennes
11
14
12
10
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Angers (home)
For1.6
Rennes (away)
For2.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.74
Angers
Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.20
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.35
Rennes
Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.54
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.89
Shots per Game
Angers — total shots (home)10.2
Rennes — total shots (away)12.5
Shots on Target
Angers — on target (home)3.8
Rennes — on target (away)4.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Angers
Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44
Rennes
Inside the box8.82
Outside the box5.35
Player Shots Angers
G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%
Player Shots Rennes
E. Lepaul
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target34%
Mousa Tamari
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
B. Embolo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Nordin
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Blas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Angers xG (home)0.95
Rennes xG (away)1.59
Average Possession
41.82%
Possession
53.5%
Team Comparison Angers vs Rennes
81.97%
Pass accuracy
84.18%
398.09
Passes per match
477
-0.01
Goals prevented
-0.01
11.09
Fouls committed
12.38
4.03
Goalkeeper saves
2.88
1.79
Offsides
2.41
18
Tackles per match
16.15
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Angers vs Rennes prediction analysis
Review Angers vs Rennes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights