Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Angers vs Strasbourg

Angers vs Strasbourg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-05-10 19:00
Angers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Strasbourg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
24%
2
49%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Angers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.94
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Strasbourg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Angers
LWWLL
Strasbourg
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Angers averages 1.06 goals scored at home, while Strasbourg averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
24%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Angers 1 - 1 Strasbourg Draw
Oct 2025 Angers(A) 0 - 5 Strasbourg Away
May 2025 Angers 2 - 1 Strasbourg Home
Feb 2025 Angers(A) 3 - 1 Strasbourg Home
Sep 2024 Angers(A) 1 - 1 Strasbourg Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Angers won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Angers — unbeaten run (home)1
Angers — scoring streak (home)1
Strasbourg — winless run (away)2
Strasbourg — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Angers Win (1)27%
Draw (X)24%
Strasbourg Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 82%
35% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 18%
65% -1.5 65%
94% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Angers vs Strasbourg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Angers — scored (home)1.06
Angers — conceded (home)1.94
Strasbourg — scored (away)1.35
Strasbourg — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Angers — BTTS matches (home)41%
Strasbourg — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.541%
Under 9.559%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Angers (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Strasbourg (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Angers
6 9 10 8 16
Strasbourg
5 13 8 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Angers (home)

For1.4

Strasbourg (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Angers — total shots (home)9.1
Strasbourg — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Angers — on target (home)3.1
Strasbourg — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Angers

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box3.35

Strasbourg

Inside the box7.44
Outside the box3.06

Player Shots Angers

E. Biumla
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
E. Lepaul
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
I. Niane
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
J. Allevinah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
H. Abdelli
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Strasbourg

E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Mara
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Amo-Ameyaw
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
Diego Moreira
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Bakwa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers xG (home)1.06
Strasbourg xG (away)1.42

Average Possession

40.82% Possession 50.15%

Team Comparison Angers vs Strasbourg

80.79% Pass accuracy 85.56%
371.65 Passes per match 477.26
0.14 Goals prevented 0.01
11.18 Fouls committed 11.56
4.06 Goalkeeper saves 3.74
2.3 Offsides 1.5
18.35 Tackles per match 15.79

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Angers vs Strasbourg prediction analysis

Review Angers vs Strasbourg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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