Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Antwerp vs Genk

Antwerp vs Genk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-07 17:30
Antwerp
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Genk
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
26%
2
36%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Antwerp (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.3
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate55%

Genk (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.48
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Antwerp
WDLLL
Genk
DWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 81%
40% +1.5 48%
15% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
55% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Antwerp averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Genk averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
26%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Antwerp(A) 0 - 0 Genk Draw
Apr 2026 Antwerp 1 - 2 Genk Away
Dec 2025 Antwerp 3 - 0 Genk Home
Aug 2025 Antwerp(A) 1 - 1 Genk Draw
Apr 2025 Antwerp(A) 1 - 0 Genk Home

In the last 5 meetings, Antwerp won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Antwerp — unbeaten run (home)1
Antwerp — scoring streak (home)1
Genk — winless run (away)1
Genk — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Antwerp Win (1)39%
Draw (X)26%
Genk Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 81%
40% +1.5 48%
15% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 19%
60% -1.5 52%
85% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Antwerp vs Genk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Antwerp — scored (home)1.3
Antwerp — conceded (home)1.3
Genk — scored (away)1.48
Genk — conceded (away)1.48
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Antwerp — BTTS matches (home)55%
Genk — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.551%
Under 8.549%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Antwerp (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against4.4

Genk (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Antwerp
10 7 12 14 12
Genk
9 9 14 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Antwerp (home)

For2.1

Genk (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Antwerp — total shots (home)13.3
Genk — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Antwerp — on target (home)4.8
Genk — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Antwerp

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box4.58

Genk

Inside the box10.12
Outside the box5.95

Player Shots Antwerp

V. Janssen
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
F. Adekami
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%
G. Kerk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target7%
C. Scott
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Genk

Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target35%
A. Bibout
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Heymans
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target19%
K. Karetsas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target21%
A. Yokoyama
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Antwerp xG (home)1.29
Genk xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

49.38% Possession 58.07%

Team Comparison Antwerp vs Genk

77.58% Pass accuracy 84.85%
386.08 Passes per match 518.93
0.15 Goals prevented 0.08
12.8 Fouls committed 10.88
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.95
2.88 Offsides 1.98
19.83 Tackles per match 17.51

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Antwerp vs Genk prediction analysis

Review Antwerp vs Genk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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