What markets are included in the Apoel Nicosia vs Aris prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Apoel Nicosia vs Aris prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Apoel Nicosia vs Aris

Apoel Nicosia vs Aris prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Division 2025-12-07 15:00

Apoel Nicosia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Aris

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

26%

28%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Apoel Nicosia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match1.22

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate50%

Aris (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.33

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Apoel Nicosia

LLLLW

Aris

LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 67%

50% +1.5 28%

17% +2.5 11%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Apoel Nicosia averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Aris averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

26%

Away Win

28%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 Apoel Nicosia(A) 0 - 1 Aris Away

Apr 2026 Apoel Nicosia 2 - 1 Aris Home

Mar 2026 Apoel Nicosia(A) 2 - 1 Aris Home

Dec 2025 Apoel Nicosia 2 - 0 Aris Home

In the last 4 meetings, Apoel Nicosia won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Apoel Nicosia — unbeaten run (home)0

Apoel Nicosia — scoring streak (home)0

Aris — winless run (away)5

Aris — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Apoel Nicosia Win (1)46%

Draw (X)26%

Aris Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 67%

50% +1.5 28%

17% +2.5 11%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 33%

50% -1.5 72%

83% -2.5 89%

94% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Apoel Nicosia vs Aris — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Apoel Nicosia — scored (home)1.5

Apoel Nicosia — conceded (home)1.22

Aris — scored (away)1.11

Aris — conceded (away)1.33

Model expected combined goals2.6

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Apoel Nicosia — BTTS matches (home)50%

Aris — BTTS matches (away)44%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.596%

Under 6.54%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Apoel Nicosia (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.9

Aris (away)

Corners for7.0

Corners against2.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Apoel Nicosia

13 15 14 9 10

Aris

14 8 9 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.5100%

Under 2.50%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Apoel Nicosia (home)

For1.9

Aris (away)

For4.0

Shots per Game

Apoel Nicosia — total shots (home)13.0

Aris — total shots (away)14.3

Shots on Target

Apoel Nicosia — on target (home)4.8

Aris — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Apoel Nicosia

Inside the box6.35

Outside the box5.7

Aris

Inside the box7.67

Outside the box6.89

Player Shots Apoel Nicosia

M. Tomás

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target26%

S. Dražić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target15%

N. Koutsakos

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Abagna

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Gabriel Maioli

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Aris

R. Effaghe

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target43%

D. Gaustad

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

G. Kastanos

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

J. Montnor

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target0%

A. Kakoullis

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Apoel Nicosia xG (home)1.12

Aris xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

52.75% Possession 51.44%

Team Comparison Apoel Nicosia vs Aris

82.85% Pass accuracy 82.78%

398 Passes per match 389.11

0 Goals prevented 0

12.3 Fouls committed 14.56

3.35 Goalkeeper saves 2.78

1.2 Offsides 1.67

2.45 Tackles per match 3

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Apoel Nicosia vs Aris prediction analysis

Review Apoel Nicosia vs Aris with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Division.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Division

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights