Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arezzo vs Palermo

Arezzo vs Palermo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-29 13:00
Arezzo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Palermo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
27%
2
31%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Arezzo (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Palermo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.15
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Palermo
WLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 70%
0% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arezzo averages 0 goals scored at home, while Palermo averages 1.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
27%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Palermo — winless run (away)4
Palermo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arezzo Win (1)42%
Draw (X)27%
Palermo Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 70%
0% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 30%
100% -1.5 70%
100% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Arezzo vs Palermo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arezzo — scored (home)0
Arezzo — conceded (home)0
Palermo — scored (away)1.15
Palermo — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.45

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Arezzo — BTTS matches (home)0%
Palermo — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)25%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arezzo (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Palermo (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Palermo
9 7 8 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Arezzo (home)

For—

Palermo (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.92

Arezzo

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.76
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.46

Palermo

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.536%
Expected shots12.16
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.79

Shots per Game

Arezzo — total shots (home)—
Palermo — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Arezzo — on target (home)—
Palermo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arezzo

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Palermo

Inside the box10.23
Outside the box3.98

Player Shots Arezzo

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Palermo

F. Ranocchia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
P. Peda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Bani
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target10%
N. Pierozzi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arezzo xG (home)-
Palermo xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

-% Possession 48.8%

Team Comparison Arezzo vs Palermo

0% Pass accuracy 77.4%
- Passes per match 365.88
- Goals prevented -0.38
- Fouls committed 15.3
- Goalkeeper saves 3.05
- Offsides 1.31
- Tackles per match 13.63

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arezzo vs Palermo prediction analysis

Review Arezzo vs Palermo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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