Prediction Analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg
Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-09-12
16:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1. FC Magdeburg
Away
Prediction Summary
1
47%
X
22%
2
30%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Arminia Bielefeld (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%
1. FC Magdeburg (Away)
Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWD
1. FC Magdeburg
LWWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
65%
53%
+1.5
53%
24%
+2.5
41%
18%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
6%
71%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.
Arminia Bielefeld averages 2 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Magdeburg averages 1.71 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
47%
Draw
22%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
65%
Head-to-Head last 4
Feb 2026
Arminia Bielefeld(A)
2 - 0
1. FC Magdeburg
Home
Sep 2025
Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 0
1. FC Magdeburg
Home
May 2023
Arminia Bielefeld(A)
0 - 4
1. FC Magdeburg
Away
Nov 2022
Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 1
1. FC Magdeburg
Home
In the last 4 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Arminia Bielefeld — unbeaten run (home)5
Arminia Bielefeld — scoring streak (home)5
1. FC Magdeburg — winless run (away)0
1. FC Magdeburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Arminia Bielefeld Win (1)47%
Draw (X)22%
1. FC Magdeburg Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
65%
53%
+1.5
53%
24%
+2.5
41%
18%
+3.5
6%
12%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
35%
47%
-1.5
47%
76%
-2.5
59%
82%
-3.5
94%
88%
-4.5
94%
Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Arminia Bielefeld — scored (home)2
Arminia Bielefeld — conceded (home)1.24
1. FC Magdeburg — scored (away)1.71
1. FC Magdeburg — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals3.35
Both Teams To Score
Yes65%
No35%
Rate per Team
Arminia Bielefeld — BTTS matches (home)71%
1. FC Magdeburg — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)62%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Arminia Bielefeld (home)
Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3
1. FC Magdeburg (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against5.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Arminia Bielefeld
4
8
10
10
11
1. FC Magdeburg
13
8
8
16
3
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Arminia Bielefeld (home)
For2.0
1. FC Magdeburg (away)
For2.5
Shots per Game
Arminia Bielefeld — total shots (home)16.5
1. FC Magdeburg — total shots (away)15.3
Shots on Target
Arminia Bielefeld — on target (home)5.4
1. FC Magdeburg — on target (away)5.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Arminia Bielefeld
Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.26
1. FC Magdeburg
Inside the box9.65
Outside the box5.74
Player Shots Arminia Bielefeld
J. Kania
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Telalović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Wörl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Großer
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Grodowski
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
Player Shots 1. FC Magdeburg
M. Żukowski
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target62%
M. Kaars
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mathisen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Ahl-Holmström
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Nollenberger
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Arminia Bielefeld xG (home)1.59
1. FC Magdeburg xG (away)1.78
Average Possession
51.88%
Possession
54.15%
Team Comparison Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg
76.06%
Pass accuracy
82.41%
398.97
Passes per match
447.91
-0.17
Goals prevented
-0.08
12.88
Fouls committed
11.44
2.88
Goalkeeper saves
3.18
2.15
Offsides
1.88
15.35
Tackles per match
14.7
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction analysis
Review Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights