Prediction Analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden
Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-08-24
11:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dynamo Dresden
Away
Prediction Summary
1
51%
X
22%
2
27%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Arminia Bielefeld (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%
Dynamo Dresden (Away)
Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWD
Dynamo Dresden
WLWLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
82%
53%
+1.5
53%
24%
+2.5
6%
18%
+3.5
0%
12%
+4.5
0%
71%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.
Arminia Bielefeld averages 2 goals scored at home, while Dynamo Dresden averages 1.41 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
51%
Draw
22%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
Head-to-Head last 4
Feb 2026
Arminia Bielefeld(A)
1 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
Draw
Aug 2025
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
Dynamo Dresden
Away
Jun 2020
Arminia Bielefeld
4 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
Home
Oct 2019
Arminia Bielefeld(A)
1 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
Home
In the last 4 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Arminia Bielefeld — unbeaten run (home)5
Arminia Bielefeld — scoring streak (home)5
Dynamo Dresden — winless run (away)2
Dynamo Dresden — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Arminia Bielefeld Win (1)51%
Draw (X)22%
Dynamo Dresden Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
82%
53%
+1.5
53%
24%
+2.5
6%
18%
+3.5
0%
12%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
18%
47%
-1.5
47%
76%
-2.5
94%
82%
-3.5
100%
88%
-4.5
100%
Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Arminia Bielefeld — scored (home)2
Arminia Bielefeld — conceded (home)1.24
Dynamo Dresden — scored (away)1.41
Dynamo Dresden — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals3.24
Both Teams To Score
Yes63%
No37%
Rate per Team
Arminia Bielefeld — BTTS matches (home)71%
Dynamo Dresden — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)73.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.591%
Under 7.59%
Over 8.579%
Under 8.521%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Arminia Bielefeld (home)
Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3
Dynamo Dresden (away)
Corners for5.2
Corners against6.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Arminia Bielefeld
4
8
10
10
11
Dynamo Dresden
9
9
11
14
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Arminia Bielefeld (home)
For2.0
Dynamo Dresden (away)
For1.9
Shots per Game
Arminia Bielefeld — total shots (home)16.5
Dynamo Dresden — total shots (away)13.3
Shots on Target
Arminia Bielefeld — on target (home)5.4
Dynamo Dresden — on target (away)4.2
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Arminia Bielefeld
Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.26
Dynamo Dresden
Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.56
Player Shots Arminia Bielefeld
J. Kania
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Telalović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Wörl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Großer
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Grodowski
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%
Player Shots Dynamo Dresden
R. Wagner
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Lemmer
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Sterner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Hauptmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
V. Vermeij
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Arminia Bielefeld xG (home)1.59
Dynamo Dresden xG (away)1.48
Average Possession
51.88%
Possession
50.15%
Team Comparison Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden
76.06%
Pass accuracy
79.79%
398.97
Passes per match
429.06
-0.17
Goals prevented
-0.26
12.88
Fouls committed
10.76
2.88
Goalkeeper saves
2.59
2.15
Offsides
2
15.35
Tackles per match
16.12
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden prediction analysis
Review Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights