Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus

Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2026-08-16 11:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Energie Cottbus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
23%
2
27%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Arminia Bielefeld (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%

Energie Cottbus (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 0%
53% +1.5 0%
24% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arminia Bielefeld averages 2 goals scored at home, while Energie Cottbus averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
23%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Arminia Bielefeld — unbeaten run (home)5
Arminia Bielefeld — scoring streak (home)5

1X2 Probability model

Arminia Bielefeld Win (1)50%
Draw (X)23%
Energie Cottbus Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 0%
53% +1.5 0%
24% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 100%
47% -1.5 100%
76% -2.5 100%
82% -3.5 100%
88% -4.5 100%

Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — scored (home)2
Arminia Bielefeld — conceded (home)1.24
Energie Cottbus — scored (away)0
Energie Cottbus — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — BTTS matches (home)71%
Energie Cottbus — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)35.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

Energie Cottbus (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arminia Bielefeld
4 8 10 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.541%
Under 2.559%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

For2.0

Energie Cottbus (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.569%
Under 22.531%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.79

Arminia Bielefeld

Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.14
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.15

Energie Cottbus

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.65
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.90

Shots per Game

Arminia Bielefeld — total shots (home)16.5
Energie Cottbus — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Arminia Bielefeld — on target (home)5.4
Energie Cottbus — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arminia Bielefeld

Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.26

Energie Cottbus

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Arminia Bielefeld

J. Kania
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Telalović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Wörl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Großer
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Grodowski
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Energie Cottbus

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arminia Bielefeld xG (home)1.59
Energie Cottbus xG (away)-

Average Possession

51.88% Possession -%

Team Comparison Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus

76.06% Pass accuracy 0%
398.97 Passes per match -
-0.17 Goals prevented -
12.88 Fouls committed -
2.88 Goalkeeper saves -
2.15 Offsides -
15.35 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus prediction and preview

Preview Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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