Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 04

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 04 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-10-05 11:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
FC Schalke 04
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
27%
2
36%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Arminia Bielefeld (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%

FC Schalke 04 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWD
FC Schalke 04
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 71%
53% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 12%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Arminia Bielefeld averages 2 goals scored at home, while FC Schalke 04 averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
27%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 0 - 1 FC Schalke 04 Away
Oct 2025 Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 2 FC Schalke 04 Away
Apr 2021 Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 0 FC Schalke 04 Home
Dec 2020 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 1 - 0 FC Schalke 04 Home
Oct 2019 Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 3 FC Schalke 04 Away

In the last 5 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Arminia Bielefeld — unbeaten run (home)5
Arminia Bielefeld — scoring streak (home)5
FC Schalke 04 — winless run (away)1
FC Schalke 04 — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arminia Bielefeld Win (1)38%
Draw (X)27%
FC Schalke 04 Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 71%
53% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 12%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 29%
47% -1.5 59%
76% -2.5 88%
82% -3.5 100%
88% -4.5 100%

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 04 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — scored (home)2
Arminia Bielefeld — conceded (home)1.24
FC Schalke 04 — scored (away)1.24
FC Schalke 04 — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — BTTS matches (home)71%
FC Schalke 04 — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

FC Schalke 04 (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arminia Bielefeld
4 8 10 10 11
FC Schalke 04
9 9 5 10 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

For2.0

FC Schalke 04 (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Arminia Bielefeld — total shots (home)16.5
FC Schalke 04 — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Arminia Bielefeld — on target (home)5.4
FC Schalke 04 — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arminia Bielefeld

Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.26

FC Schalke 04

Inside the box10.06
Outside the box4.12

Player Shots Arminia Bielefeld

J. Kania
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Telalović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Wörl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Großer
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Grodowski
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots FC Schalke 04

M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game2.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target40%
E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target45%
D. Ljubičić
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Karaman
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target28%
C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arminia Bielefeld xG (home)1.59
FC Schalke 04 xG (away)1.68

Average Possession

51.88% Possession 45.91%

Team Comparison Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 04

76.06% Pass accuracy 70.5%
398.97 Passes per match 358.41
-0.17 Goals prevented -0.23
12.88 Fouls committed 12.59
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 2.03
2.15 Offsides 1.69
15.35 Tackles per match 19.29

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 04 prediction analysis

Review Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 04 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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