Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-08-02 18:30
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
23%
2
20%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Arminia Bielefeld (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWD
Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 12%
24% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arminia Bielefeld averages 2 goals scored at home, while Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
23%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 0 - 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Away
Aug 2025 Arminia Bielefeld 5 - 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Home
Apr 2023 Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Draw
Oct 2022 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 1 - 4 Fortuna Düsseldorf Away

In the last 4 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Arminia Bielefeld — unbeaten run (home)5
Arminia Bielefeld — scoring streak (home)5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — winless run (away)5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arminia Bielefeld Win (1)57%
Draw (X)23%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 12%
24% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 88%
76% -2.5 100%
82% -3.5 100%
88% -4.5 100%

Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — scored (home)2
Arminia Bielefeld — conceded (home)1.24
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (away)0.65
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.74

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — BTTS matches (home)71%
Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arminia Bielefeld
4 8 10 10 11
Fortuna Düsseldorf
13 9 5 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

For2.0

Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Arminia Bielefeld — total shots (home)16.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Arminia Bielefeld — on target (home)5.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arminia Bielefeld

Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.26

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35

Player Shots Arminia Bielefeld

J. Kania
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Telalović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Wörl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Großer
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Grodowski
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf

J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arminia Bielefeld xG (home)1.59
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

51.88% Possession 49.26%

Team Comparison Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

76.06% Pass accuracy 79.71%
398.97 Passes per match 414.65
-0.17 Goals prevented 0.01
12.88 Fouls committed 12.32
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 3.35
2.15 Offsides 1.85
15.35 Tackles per match 17.24

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction analysis

Review Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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