Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC

Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-11-08 12:00
Arminia Bielefeld
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Karlsruher SC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
24%
2
31%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Arminia Bielefeld (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate71%

Karlsruher SC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Arminia Bielefeld
WLDWD
Karlsruher SC
LDWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 47%
53% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 18%
18% +3.5 6%
12% +4.5 0%
71% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Arminia Bielefeld averages 2 goals scored at home, while Karlsruher SC averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
24%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 1 - 4 Karlsruher SC Away
Nov 2025 Arminia Bielefeld 4 - 0 Karlsruher SC Home
Apr 2023 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 2 - 4 Karlsruher SC Away
Oct 2022 Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 2 Karlsruher SC Away
Jun 2020 Arminia Bielefeld(A) 3 - 3 Karlsruher SC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Arminia Bielefeld — unbeaten run (home)5
Arminia Bielefeld — scoring streak (home)5
Karlsruher SC — winless run (away)4
Karlsruher SC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Arminia Bielefeld Win (1)45%
Draw (X)24%
Karlsruher SC Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 47%
53% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 18%
18% +3.5 6%
12% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 53%
47% -1.5 59%
76% -2.5 82%
82% -3.5 94%
88% -4.5 100%

Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — scored (home)2
Arminia Bielefeld — conceded (home)1.24
Karlsruher SC — scored (away)1.12
Karlsruher SC — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Arminia Bielefeld — BTTS matches (home)71%
Karlsruher SC — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

Karlsruher SC (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Arminia Bielefeld
4 8 10 10 11
Karlsruher SC
3 5 8 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Arminia Bielefeld (home)

For2.0

Karlsruher SC (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Arminia Bielefeld — total shots (home)16.5
Karlsruher SC — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Arminia Bielefeld — on target (home)5.4
Karlsruher SC — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Arminia Bielefeld

Inside the box9.62
Outside the box5.26

Karlsruher SC

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Arminia Bielefeld

J. Kania
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Telalović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
M. Wörl
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Großer
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Grodowski
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Karlsruher SC

M. Wanitzek
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Fukuda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Schleusener
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target18%
Louey Ben Farhat
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Šimić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Arminia Bielefeld xG (home)1.59
Karlsruher SC xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

51.88% Possession 48.38%

Team Comparison Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC

76.06% Pass accuracy 78.94%
398.97 Passes per match 425.21
-0.17 Goals prevented -0.2
12.88 Fouls committed 12.21
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 3.76
2.15 Offsides 1.65
15.35 Tackles per match 14.38

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC prediction analysis

Review Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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